The typical standard errors between pairs of models on this dataset as a function of the absolute accuracy.
The standard error of each model pair against their observed accuracy difference. Pairs below a reference line differ by more than the corresponding number of standard errors, i.e. they are statistically distinguishable at that level.
| model | pass1 | pass@count | win_rate | count | SE(A) | SE_x(A) | SE_pred(A) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_70b | 25.8 | 50 | 21.2 | 11 | 8 | 6.7 | 4.4 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_32b | 25.5 | 43.3 | 20.9 | 11 | 8 | 6.8 | 4.2 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_14b | 24.5 | 33.3 | 20.2 | 11 | 7.9 | 7.4 | 2.7 |
| google_gemma_3_27b_it | 24.4 | 36.7 | 19.9 | 12 | 7.8 | 6.5 | 4.4 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_8b | 21.5 | 26.7 | 17 | 13 | 7.5 | 6.8 | 3.2 |
| google_gemma_3_12b_it | 20.9 | 36.7 | 16.6 | 11 | 7.4 | 6.2 | 4.1 |
| qwen3-32b | 19.1 | 36.7 | 15.4 | 11 | 7.2 | 5.3 | 4.8 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_7b | 18.8 | 26.7 | 14.6 | 11 | 7.1 | 6.6 | 2.7 |
| qwen3-14b | 18.1 | 40 | 14.5 | 12 | 7 | 5.3 | 4.6 |
| qwen3-8b | 17.5 | 33.3 | 13.8 | 12 | 6.9 | 5.2 | 4.6 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_1.5b | 17.2 | 20 | 13.2 | 13 | 6.9 | 6.3 | 2.7 |
| qwen3-4b | 16.4 | 26.7 | 12.8 | 12 | 6.8 | 5.6 | 3.8 |
| qwen2-math-72b-instruct | 12 | 33.3 | 9.48 | 10 | 5.9 | 3.8 | 4.5 |
| qwen2.5-coder-32b-instruct | 11.5 | 30 | 8.95 | 11 | 5.8 | 3.7 | 4.5 |
| qwen2-math-7b-instruct | 10 | 23.3 | 7.87 | 6 | 5.5 | 3.7 | 4 |
| google_gemma_3_4b_it | 9.23 | 20 | 6.97 | 13 | 5.3 | 4.2 | 3.3 |
| qwen3-1.7b | 8.06 | 30 | 6.47 | 12 | 5 | 2.8 | 4.1 |
| qwen2.5-coder-14b-instruct | 7.78 | 23.3 | 5.83 | 12 | 4.9 | 3.3 | 3.6 |
| qwen2-72b-instruct | 3.64 | 26.7 | 2.99 | 11 | 3.4 | 0.61 | 3.4 |
| llama-3.1-70B-instruct | 3.33 | 3.33 | 2.34 | 13 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 0 |
| qwen2-math-1.5b-instruct | 3.33 | 10 | 2.61 | 4 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 3 |
| qwen2.5-coder-7b-instruct | 1.82 | 20 | 1.41 | 11 | 2.4 | 0 | 2.5 |
| mistralai_ministral_8b_instruct_2410 | 1.21 | 13.3 | 0.943 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| qwen2.5-coder-3b-instruct | 1.11 | 10 | 0.831 | 12 | 1.9 | 0.36 | 1.9 |
| google_gemma_2_27b_it | 1 | 6.67 | 0.812 | 10 | 1.8 | 0.46 | 1.8 |
| qwen3-0.6b | 0.769 | 10 | 0.596 | 13 | 1.6 | 0 | 1.6 |
| google_gemma_2_9b_it | 0.606 | 3.33 | 0.421 | 11 | 1.4 | 0.44 | 1.3 |
| mistralai_mathstral_7b_v0.1 | 0.606 | 6.67 | 0.438 | 11 | 1.4 | 0 | 1.4 |
| qwen2-1.5b-instruct | 0.513 | 3.33 | 0.387 | 13 | 1.3 | 0.37 | 1.3 |
| google_gemma_3_1b_it | 0.513 | 3.33 | 0.351 | 13 | 1.3 | 0.37 | 1.3 |
| qwen1.5-72b-chat | 0.303 | 3.33 | 0.303 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x22b_instruct_v0.1 | 0.303 | 3.33 | 0.207 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| qwen2-7b-instruct | 0.303 | 3.33 | 0.281 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| qwen1.5-32b-chat | 0.303 | 3.33 | 0.281 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x7b_instruct_v0.1 | 0.278 | 3.33 | 0.243 | 12 | 0.96 | 0 | 0.96 |
| google_codegemma_1.1_7b_it | 0.256 | 3.33 | 0.193 | 13 | 0.92 | 0 | 0.92 |
| llama-3.2-3B-instruct | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| llama-3.2-1B-instruct | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| llama-3.1-8B-instruct | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| google_gemma_7b_it | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| deepseek_v2_lite_chat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| google_gemma_2b_it | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| qwen1.5-0.5b-chat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| qwen1.5-7b-chat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| qwen2-0.5b-instruct | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| qwen1.5-14b-chat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| qwen1.5-1.8b-chat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| qwen2.5-coder-0.5b-instruct | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| qwen2.5-coder-1.5b-instruct | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 |