The typical standard errors between pairs of models on this dataset as a function of the absolute accuracy.
The standard error of each model pair against their observed accuracy difference. Pairs below a reference line differ by more than the corresponding number of standard errors, i.e. they are statistically distinguishable at that level.
| model | pass1 | pass@count | win_rate | count | SE(A) | SE_x(A) | SE_pred(A) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| qwen3-32b | 92.5 | 97.7 | 31.9 | 11 | 0.99 | 0.81 | 0.56 |
| qwen3-14b | 90.3 | 95.6 | 30.3 | 11 | 1.1 | 0.96 | 0.56 |
| qwen2-72b-instruct | 89 | 95.6 | 29.6 | 9 | 1.2 | 0.96 | 0.68 |
| llama-3.1-70B-instruct | 88.7 | 88.7 | 30 | 11 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0 |
| google_gemma_3_27b_it | 88.6 | 94.1 | 29.4 | 10 | 1.2 | 1 | 0.62 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_70b | 88.6 | 95.9 | 29.8 | 9 | 1.2 | 0.95 | 0.72 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_32b | 87.2 | 96.5 | 28.9 | 9 | 1.3 | 0.96 | 0.8 |
| qwen3-8b | 86.8 | 95.8 | 28.3 | 11 | 1.3 | 1 | 0.72 |
| qwen2.5-coder-32b-instruct | 86.4 | 95.5 | 27.9 | 9 | 1.3 | 1 | 0.77 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_14b | 85.3 | 95.5 | 27.6 | 12 | 1.3 | 1 | 0.83 |
| google_gemma_3_12b_it | 85.2 | 93.1 | 27.2 | 11 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| qwen3-4b | 83.3 | 92.3 | 26.7 | 11 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.72 |
| google_gemma_2_27b_it | 83.1 | 93 | 26.1 | 10 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.76 |
| qwen1.5-72b-chat | 81.5 | 93.8 | 25.4 | 9 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.91 |
| google_gemma_2_9b_it | 80.9 | 92.4 | 25 | 12 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.81 |
| qwen2-math-72b-instruct | 80.5 | 94.8 | 25.3 | 9 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.99 |
| qwen2.5-coder-14b-instruct | 80.5 | 94.1 | 24.8 | 11 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.94 |
| qwen1.5-32b-chat | 79.1 | 94.1 | 24.3 | 11 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.97 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x22b_instruct_v0.1 | 76.8 | 94.4 | 24.9 | 11 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| llama-3.1-8B-instruct | 73.4 | 73.4 | 21.8 | 15 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0 |
| qwen2-7b-instruct | 72.6 | 93.7 | 21.4 | 12 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| qwen1.5-14b-chat | 71.8 | 89 | 20.7 | 11 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.98 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x7b_instruct_v0.1 | 71 | 92.4 | 20.9 | 11 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| qwen2.5-coder-7b-instruct | 70.9 | 94.7 | 20.7 | 12 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| qwen3-1.7b | 70.8 | 87.6 | 20.9 | 11 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.99 |
| mistralai_ministral_8b_instruct_2410 | 69.2 | 95.8 | 20.1 | 12 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| google_gemma_3_4b_it | 68.5 | 86.5 | 19.7 | 13 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.96 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_8b | 63.2 | 92.5 | 18.2 | 12 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| qwen2-math-7b-instruct | 61.9 | 92.7 | 18.6 | 11 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| qwen1.5-7b-chat | 61.5 | 90 | 17.1 | 12 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| llama-3.2-3B-instruct | 60.3 | 60.3 | 16.4 | 18 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.3 | 59.7 | 86.9 | 16.5 | 12 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| mistralai_mathstral_7b_v0.1 | 57.6 | 92.3 | 15.9 | 12 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| deepseek_v2_lite_chat | 57.2 | 90.3 | 15.8 | 11 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| qwen2.5-coder-3b-instruct | 55.3 | 93 | 15.2 | 11 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_7b | 54.4 | 88.6 | 15.5 | 12 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| google_codegemma_1.1_7b_it | 52.9 | 83.4 | 14.2 | 13 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.2 | 52.3 | 80.7 | 14.2 | 12 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.1 | 49 | 88.9 | 13.1 | 12 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| google_gemma_7b_it | 48.1 | 77.4 | 13.1 | 12 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| qwen3-0.6b | 47.2 | 82.3 | 12.9 | 12 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| qwen2-1.5b-instruct | 39.2 | 84.1 | 10.4 | 11 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| google_gemma_3_1b_it | 35.4 | 71.3 | 9.39 | 12 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| qwen2-math-1.5b-instruct | 34.3 | 85.7 | 10.7 | 11 | 1.8 | 0.95 | 1.5 |
| qwen2.5-coder-1.5b-instruct | 33.9 | 88.6 | 9.75 | 11 | 1.8 | 0.81 | 1.6 |
| google_gemma_2b_it | 32.6 | 50.9 | 9.28 | 12 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.88 |
| llama-3.2-1B-instruct | 31.9 | 31.9 | 8.67 | 21 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0 |
| qwen1.5-1.8b-chat | 30.5 | 79.5 | 8.29 | 12 | 1.7 | 0.98 | 1.4 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_1.5b | 26.5 | 77.6 | 7.34 | 12 | 1.7 | 0.81 | 1.4 |
| qwen2-0.5b-instruct | 22.3 | 78.1 | 7.08 | 13 | 1.6 | 0.79 | 1.3 |
| qwen2.5-coder-0.5b-instruct | 19.7 | 85.9 | 6.82 | 12 | 1.5 | 0.39 | 1.4 |
| qwen1.5-0.5b-chat | 19.7 | 73.4 | 6.23 | 12 | 1.5 | 0.68 | 1.3 |