The typical standard errors between pairs of models on this dataset as a function of the absolute accuracy.
The standard error of each model pair against their observed accuracy difference. Pairs below a reference line differ by more than the corresponding number of standard errors, i.e. they are statistically distinguishable at that level.
| model | pass1 | pass@count | win_rate | count | SE(A) | SE_x(A) | SE_pred(A) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| qwen2.5-coder-32b-instruct | 76.1 | 92.8 | 44.6 | 10 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.97 |
| google_gemma_3_27b_it | 69 | 87 | 38.7 | 9 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| qwen2.5-coder-14b-instruct | 66.1 | 91 | 37 | 12 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| google_gemma_3_12b_it | 62.5 | 85.6 | 33.7 | 11 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| llama-3.1-70B-instruct | 61.4 | 61.4 | 32.9 | 13 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0 |
| google_gemma_2_27b_it | 58 | 85 | 30.6 | 10 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| qwen2-72b-instruct | 56.9 | 84.2 | 29.8 | 10 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| qwen2-math-72b-instruct | 56.6 | 84.9 | 29.8 | 10 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x22b_instruct_v0.1 | 56.1 | 86.8 | 29.6 | 11 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| qwen2.5-coder-7b-instruct | 54.9 | 85.4 | 28.8 | 11 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| google_gemma_2_9b_it | 47.9 | 77 | 23.4 | 12 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_14b | 47 | 78.2 | 23.8 | 11 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| qwen1.5-72b-chat | 47 | 79.5 | 23.3 | 10 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_70b | 46.8 | 79.1 | 23.6 | 10 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| google_codegemma_1.1_7b_it | 44.7 | 82.6 | 22.2 | 13 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| mistralai_mathstral_7b_v0.1 | 44 | 78.2 | 21.2 | 11 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| google_gemma_3_4b_it | 43.7 | 79.8 | 21.6 | 13 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| mistralai_ministral_8b_instruct_2410 | 43.3 | 77.9 | 20.8 | 11 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| qwen2.5-coder-3b-instruct | 43.3 | 82.9 | 21.7 | 12 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| llama-3.1-8B-instruct | 41.9 | 42 | 20.5 | 15 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.052 |
| qwen1.5-32b-chat | 41.4 | 77.2 | 19.8 | 11 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| qwen2-7b-instruct | 40.4 | 76.9 | 19 | 11 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| qwen1.5-14b-chat | 39.6 | 73.5 | 18.7 | 12 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| qwen3-1.7b | 38.6 | 72.1 | 18.4 | 12 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| qwen3-4b | 37.9 | 64.8 | 18.1 | 12 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_8b | 36 | 71.5 | 16.7 | 12 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x7b_instruct_v0.1 | 34.5 | 75.2 | 16.1 | 12 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| qwen2.5-coder-1.5b-instruct | 34.3 | 78 | 16.9 | 12 | 1.7 | 1 | 1.3 |
| qwen3-14b | 32.3 | 51.6 | 14.9 | 12 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.89 |
| llama-3.2-3B-instruct | 32.1 | 32.1 | 15.4 | 18 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0 |
| qwen3-32b | 31.9 | 56.8 | 14.9 | 11 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.98 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.3 | 31.7 | 65.6 | 14 | 11 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| qwen2-math-7b-instruct | 31.1 | 65 | 14.8 | 12 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| google_gemma_7b_it | 29.7 | 63.4 | 14.6 | 12 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| qwen2.5-coder-0.5b-instruct | 28.2 | 72.8 | 14.7 | 13 | 1.6 | 0.91 | 1.3 |
| qwen1.5-7b-chat | 27.2 | 65.5 | 12 | 12 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| deepseek_v2_lite_chat | 26.5 | 65.6 | 12 | 11 | 1.6 | 1 | 1.2 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.1 | 26.3 | 63.1 | 12 | 11 | 1.6 | 1 | 1.2 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.2 | 24.7 | 60.2 | 10.7 | 11 | 1.5 | 0.98 | 1.2 |
| qwen3-0.6b | 22.7 | 59.9 | 10.6 | 13 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| qwen3-8b | 21.2 | 47.5 | 9.66 | 12 | 1.4 | 0.99 | 1.1 |
| google_gemma_2b_it | 18.7 | 52.1 | 9.76 | 13 | 1.4 | 0.85 | 1.1 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_7b | 16.9 | 52.5 | 7.15 | 11 | 1.3 | 0.74 | 1.1 |
| qwen2-math-1.5b-instruct | 16.9 | 46.4 | 7.28 | 12 | 1.3 | 0.83 | 1 |
| qwen2-1.5b-instruct | 15.1 | 60.1 | 7.04 | 12 | 1.3 | 0.58 | 1.1 |
| llama-3.2-1B-instruct | 8.88 | 8.88 | 4.3 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_1.5b | 6.12 | 27.3 | 2.09 | 12 | 0.85 | 0.42 | 0.74 |
| qwen2-0.5b-instruct | 4.86 | 29.1 | 2.18 | 13 | 0.76 | 0.27 | 0.71 |
| qwen1.5-1.8b-chat | 3.06 | 24.4 | 1.42 | 12 | 0.61 | 0.15 | 0.59 |
| qwen1.5-0.5b-chat | 1.73 | 16.6 | 0.867 | 13 | 0.46 | 0.11 | 0.45 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_32b | 1.56 | 10.8 | 0.564 | 10 | 0.44 | 0.13 | 0.42 |
| google_gemma_3_1b_it | 0.0865 | 0.5 | 0.0354 | 13 | 0.1 | 0.055 | 0.088 |