The typical standard errors between pairs of models on this dataset as a function of the absolute accuracy.
The standard error of each model pair against their observed accuracy difference. Pairs below a reference line differ by more than the corresponding number of standard errors, i.e. they are statistically distinguishable at that level.
| model | pass1 | pass@count | win_rate | count | SE(A) | SE_x(A) | SE_pred(A) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| qwen2.5-coder-32b-instruct | 82.4 | 92.2 | 44.4 | 10 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.72 |
| qwen3-14b | 78.7 | 92.4 | 41.3 | 12 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.87 |
| qwen2.5-coder-14b-instruct | 76.5 | 89.5 | 39.5 | 12 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.79 |
| google_gemma_3_27b_it | 76 | 87 | 38.9 | 9 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.77 |
| llama-3.1-70B-instruct | 70.2 | 70.2 | 34.6 | 13 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0 |
| google_gemma_3_12b_it | 69.7 | 83.6 | 34.3 | 11 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.85 |
| qwen3-32b | 69.5 | 84 | 34.4 | 11 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.89 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_70b | 66.5 | 87 | 32.3 | 10 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| qwen2-72b-instruct | 64.1 | 85.5 | 30.5 | 10 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| google_gemma_2_27b_it | 62.7 | 81.8 | 29.2 | 10 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.97 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x22b_instruct_v0.1 | 62.3 | 83 | 28.8 | 11 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1 |
| qwen2-math-72b-instruct | 59.5 | 82 | 27.3 | 10 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| qwen3-4b | 57.4 | 77.5 | 26.1 | 12 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1 |
| qwen2.5-coder-7b-instruct | 56.2 | 80.6 | 25.1 | 11 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| google_gemma_3_4b_it | 54.5 | 74.5 | 24 | 13 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.96 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_14b | 54.5 | 88.2 | 26.7 | 11 | 1.8 | 1 | 1.4 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_8b | 52.3 | 78.6 | 22.8 | 12 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| qwen2.5-coder-3b-instruct | 50.1 | 79.1 | 21.3 | 12 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| google_gemma_2_9b_it | 48.6 | 69.6 | 19.9 | 12 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.98 |
| qwen1.5-32b-chat | 48.3 | 75.5 | 20.1 | 11 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| qwen1.5-72b-chat | 46.6 | 75.6 | 19.6 | 10 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x7b_instruct_v0.1 | 45.7 | 73.6 | 18.5 | 11 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| llama-3.1-8B-instruct | 44.2 | 44.2 | 17.9 | 15 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0 |
| mistralai_ministral_8b_instruct_2410 | 44.2 | 74.4 | 17.7 | 11 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| mistralai_mathstral_7b_v0.1 | 40.9 | 72.4 | 15.8 | 11 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| qwen2-7b-instruct | 39.3 | 69.4 | 15.1 | 11 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| google_codegemma_1.1_7b_it | 38.2 | 67.6 | 14.8 | 13 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| qwen1.5-14b-chat | 37.8 | 68.8 | 14.3 | 12 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.3 | 34.2 | 62.4 | 12.4 | 11 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| qwen3-1.7b | 33.9 | 74.4 | 14.8 | 12 | 1.7 | 0.94 | 1.4 |
| qwen3-0.6b | 31.4 | 64.5 | 12 | 13 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_32b | 30.5 | 75.1 | 13.4 | 10 | 1.6 | 0.83 | 1.4 |
| llama-3.2-3B-instruct | 30.1 | 30.1 | 10.5 | 18 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0 |
| qwen3-8b | 29.5 | 62.5 | 11.3 | 12 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| qwen2.5-coder-1.5b-instruct | 29 | 68.2 | 10.7 | 12 | 1.6 | 1 | 1.2 |
| deepseek_v2_lite_chat | 28.1 | 59.6 | 9.99 | 11 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| google_gemma_3_1b_it | 27.5 | 52.6 | 10.3 | 12 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1 |
| qwen2-math-7b-instruct | 26.3 | 59.1 | 9.53 | 12 | 1.6 | 1 | 1.2 |
| qwen1.5-7b-chat | 26.2 | 57.5 | 9.23 | 12 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| google_gemma_7b_it | 25.5 | 47.1 | 9.26 | 12 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.95 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.1 | 23.6 | 54.1 | 8.26 | 11 | 1.5 | 1 | 1.1 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.2 | 22.7 | 59 | 8.24 | 11 | 1.5 | 0.87 | 1.2 |
| qwen2-math-1.5b-instruct | 21.6 | 51.4 | 7.64 | 12 | 1.5 | 1 | 1 |
| qwen2.5-coder-0.5b-instruct | 20.5 | 53.1 | 7.57 | 13 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_7b | 19.3 | 58.9 | 7.45 | 11 | 1.4 | 0.71 | 1.2 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_1.5b | 14.1 | 51.6 | 4.94 | 12 | 1.2 | 0.59 | 1.1 |
| google_gemma_2b_it | 12.5 | 37.9 | 4.61 | 13 | 1.2 | 0.73 | 0.92 |
| qwen2-1.5b-instruct | 12.5 | 43.4 | 4.12 | 12 | 1.2 | 0.64 | 0.98 |
| llama-3.2-1B-instruct | 11.4 | 11.4 | 3.77 | 21 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0 |
| qwen1.5-0.5b-chat | 6.23 | 28.6 | 2.32 | 13 | 0.85 | 0.43 | 0.74 |
| qwen2-0.5b-instruct | 1.84 | 16.2 | 0.666 | 13 | 0.47 | 0.11 | 0.46 |
| qwen1.5-1.8b-chat | 1.17 | 10.4 | 0.378 | 12 | 0.38 | 0.1 | 0.37 |