The typical standard errors between pairs of models on this dataset as a function of the absolute accuracy.
The standard error of each model pair against their observed accuracy difference. Pairs below a reference line differ by more than the corresponding number of standard errors, i.e. they are statistically distinguishable at that level.
| model | pass1 | pass@count | win_rate | count | SE(A) | SE_x(A) | SE_pred(A) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| qwen2-math-72b-instruct | 78.3 | 92 | 43.7 | 11 | 4.8 | 3.7 | 3 |
| qwen2-72b-instruct | 77.3 | 82.7 | 43.2 | 11 | 4.8 | 4.6 | 1.6 |
| google_gemma_3_27b_it | 74.4 | 89.3 | 42.2 | 12 | 5 | 3.9 | 3.1 |
| qwen3-8b | 72 | 90.7 | 39.2 | 12 | 5.2 | 4.3 | 2.9 |
| qwen3-4b | 71.9 | 89.3 | 39.7 | 12 | 5.2 | 4.1 | 3.2 |
| qwen3-14b | 71.1 | 81.3 | 38.7 | 12 | 5.2 | 4.6 | 2.5 |
| qwen3-32b | 67.9 | 89.3 | 37.6 | 11 | 5.4 | 4.1 | 3.5 |
| qwen2.5-coder-32b-instruct | 62.4 | 86.7 | 33.2 | 11 | 5.6 | 4.3 | 3.6 |
| qwen1.5-72b-chat | 60.1 | 76 | 32.3 | 11 | 5.7 | 5.1 | 2.5 |
| google_gemma_2_27b_it | 59.2 | 85.3 | 32.3 | 10 | 5.7 | 3.6 | 4.4 |
| qwen1.5-32b-chat | 58.4 | 70.7 | 29.9 | 11 | 5.7 | 5.1 | 2.5 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x22b_instruct_v0.1 | 58.1 | 80 | 29.8 | 11 | 5.7 | 4.5 | 3.5 |
| qwen2.5-coder-14b-instruct | 56.2 | 78.7 | 28.6 | 12 | 5.7 | 4.7 | 3.3 |
| qwen2.5-coder-7b-instruct | 55.2 | 78.7 | 28.5 | 10 | 5.7 | 4.3 | 3.8 |
| google_gemma_3_12b_it | 54.3 | 78.7 | 28.6 | 11 | 5.8 | 4.4 | 3.7 |
| qwen1.5-14b-chat | 52.7 | 77.3 | 26.5 | 12 | 5.8 | 4.6 | 3.5 |
| qwen2-math-7b-instruct | 51.8 | 66.7 | 26.8 | 6 | 5.8 | 4.7 | 3.3 |
| qwen3-1.7b | 48.2 | 77.3 | 24.2 | 12 | 5.8 | 4.3 | 3.8 |
| qwen1.5-7b-chat | 46.3 | 72 | 24.1 | 12 | 5.8 | 4.8 | 3.2 |
| qwen2-7b-instruct | 46.1 | 72 | 23.2 | 11 | 5.8 | 4.6 | 3.5 |
| mistralai_mathstral_7b_v0.1 | 45.6 | 81.3 | 23.3 | 11 | 5.8 | 4.1 | 4 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.3 | 41 | 60 | 19.5 | 11 | 5.7 | 4.9 | 2.8 |
| qwen3-0.6b | 39.8 | 68 | 19.9 | 13 | 5.7 | 4.5 | 3.4 |
| deepseek_v2_lite_chat | 39.2 | 74.7 | 19.9 | 11 | 5.6 | 3.7 | 4.3 |
| google_gemma_2_9b_it | 38.8 | 73.3 | 20 | 11 | 5.6 | 3.8 | 4.1 |
| mistralai_ministral_8b_instruct_2410 | 38.3 | 84 | 18.9 | 11 | 5.6 | 3.3 | 4.5 |
| qwen2-math-1.5b-instruct | 37.3 | 60 | 19.6 | 4 | 5.6 | 4 | 3.9 |
| llama-3.2-3B-instruct | 37.3 | 37.3 | 17.5 | 17 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 0 |
| llama-3.1-8B-instruct | 37.3 | 37.3 | 17.9 | 15 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 0 |
| google_gemma_3_4b_it | 37 | 61.3 | 19.2 | 13 | 5.6 | 4.4 | 3.4 |
| qwen2.5-coder-3b-instruct | 35.3 | 86.7 | 17.6 | 12 | 5.5 | 3.2 | 4.5 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x7b_instruct_v0.1 | 29.8 | 69.3 | 15.2 | 12 | 5.3 | 3.4 | 4 |
| qwen2.5-coder-1.5b-instruct | 25.6 | 92 | 13.8 | 11 | 5 | 1.3 | 4.9 |
| google_gemma_7b_it | 24.4 | 41.3 | 11.3 | 13 | 5 | 4.1 | 2.8 |
| qwen2-1.5b-instruct | 24.3 | 76 | 12.3 | 13 | 5 | 2.9 | 4 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.2 | 24 | 46.7 | 10.8 | 10 | 4.9 | 3.6 | 3.4 |
| google_codegemma_1.1_7b_it | 23.4 | 60 | 11.4 | 13 | 4.9 | 3.3 | 3.6 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.1 | 20 | 76 | 10.2 | 11 | 4.6 | 2.3 | 4 |
| qwen1.5-0.5b-chat | 19.5 | 82.7 | 11.4 | 13 | 4.6 | 1.2 | 4.4 |
| llama-3.2-1B-instruct | 18.7 | 18.7 | 9.57 | 12 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 0 |
| qwen1.5-1.8b-chat | 18.3 | 77.3 | 9.79 | 11 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 4.2 |
| qwen2.5-coder-0.5b-instruct | 18.3 | 84 | 11.1 | 13 | 4.5 | 1.1 | 4.3 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_70b | 18.2 | 53.3 | 8.64 | 11 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 3.7 |
| qwen2-0.5b-instruct | 18.2 | 80 | 10.6 | 13 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 4.3 |
| google_gemma_3_1b_it | 17.9 | 48 | 11.2 | 13 | 4.4 | 3.2 | 3.1 |
| google_gemma_2b_it | 17.1 | 45.3 | 9.38 | 13 | 4.4 | 3.2 | 2.9 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_14b | 14.7 | 53.3 | 6.69 | 11 | 4.1 | 1.9 | 3.6 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_32b | 12.8 | 52 | 5.98 | 11 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 3.5 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_8b | 11.3 | 46.7 | 4.77 | 13 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 3.2 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_7b | 6.79 | 38.7 | 3.09 | 11 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 2.8 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_1.5b | 4 | 34.7 | 1.7 | 13 | 2.3 | 0.49 | 2.2 |