The typical standard errors between pairs of models on this dataset as a function of the absolute accuracy.
The standard error of each model pair against their observed accuracy difference. Pairs below a reference line differ by more than the corresponding number of standard errors, i.e. they are statistically distinguishable at that level.
| model | pass1 | pass@count | win_rate | count | SE(A) | SE_x(A) | SE_pred(A) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| qwen3-32b | 80.1 | 94.5 | 33.7 | 10 | 2 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| qwen3-14b | 77 | 92.3 | 31.6 | 11 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| llama-3.1-70B-instruct | 75.2 | 75.2 | 30.2 | 13 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_70b | 74.9 | 89.6 | 29.9 | 9 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| qwen2-72b-instruct | 73.6 | 81.1 | 29.4 | 8 | 2.2 | 2 | 0.82 |
| qwen3-8b | 72.2 | 92.6 | 28.9 | 11 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_32b | 71.3 | 88.3 | 28 | 9 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| qwen2.5-coder-32b-instruct | 70.4 | 90.6 | 27.3 | 10 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| qwen3-4b | 70 | 89.8 | 27.9 | 12 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| qwen1.5-72b-chat | 67.5 | 67.5 | 25.2 | 1 | 2.3 | NaN | NaN |
| google_gemma_3_12b_it | 67 | 83.9 | 25.5 | 10 | 2.3 | 2 | 1.3 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x22b_instruct_v0.1 | 66.8 | 84.1 | 25 | 11 | 2.3 | 2 | 1.2 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_14b | 66.7 | 87.6 | 25.5 | 11 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| qwen2-math-72b-instruct | 66.7 | 83.1 | 25.1 | 7 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| qwen1.5-32b-chat | 66.5 | 66.5 | 24.5 | 1 | 2.4 | NaN | NaN |
| qwen2.5-coder-14b-instruct | 63.2 | 86.4 | 22.8 | 11 | 2.4 | 2 | 1.3 |
| qwen2-7b-instruct | 58.3 | 77.2 | 20.6 | 12 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| qwen1.5-14b-chat | 57.5 | 73.2 | 20 | 11 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x7b_instruct_v0.1 | 57.4 | 72 | 20 | 11 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 0.99 |
| qwen2.5-coder-7b-instruct | 56.2 | 80.4 | 19.7 | 12 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| llama-3.1-8B-instruct | 53.6 | 53.6 | 18.2 | 15 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0 |
| qwen3-1.7b | 51.2 | 79.2 | 18.2 | 12 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| mistralai_ministral_8b_instruct_2410 | 51 | 87.3 | 17.4 | 12 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| qwen1.5-7b-chat | 50.5 | 70.7 | 16.8 | 12 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| mistralai_mathstral_7b_v0.1 | 49.4 | 80.9 | 16.7 | 11 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| google_gemma_3_4b_it | 48.6 | 76.7 | 17 | 13 | 2.5 | 2 | 1.5 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.3 | 48 | 64.8 | 15.2 | 11 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.2 | 47.6 | 53.8 | 16.1 | 11 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 0.72 |
| deepseek_v2_lite_chat | 47.5 | 76.4 | 16.4 | 11 | 2.5 | 2 | 1.5 |
| llama-3.2-3B-instruct | 46.9 | 46.9 | 16 | 15 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_8b | 45.1 | 84.4 | 15.4 | 12 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_7b | 44.1 | 78.4 | 15.3 | 11 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| qwen2-math-7b-instruct | 43.8 | 76.4 | 15.3 | 12 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| qwen2.5-coder-3b-instruct | 40.2 | 89.3 | 14 | 12 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.1 | 37.4 | 83.6 | 12.7 | 11 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| qwen3-0.6b | 37 | 64.5 | 13.7 | 13 | 2.4 | 2 | 1.4 |
| qwen2-1.5b-instruct | 34.6 | 75.4 | 11.7 | 12 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| qwen1.5-1.8b-chat | 27.6 | 73.4 | 10.3 | 12 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| qwen2.5-coder-1.5b-instruct | 27.4 | 88.8 | 10.3 | 12 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 2 |
| llama-3.2-1B-instruct | 26.3 | 26.3 | 9.65 | 11 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0 |
| qwen2-math-1.5b-instruct | 24.3 | 77.2 | 10.5 | 11 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_1.5b | 24.2 | 74.7 | 9.21 | 12 | 2.1 | 0.98 | 1.9 |
| qwen2-0.5b-instruct | 22.7 | 86.1 | 10 | 13 | 2.1 | 0.84 | 1.9 |
| qwen1.5-0.5b-chat | 21.7 | 86.1 | 9.62 | 13 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 1.9 |
| qwen2.5-coder-0.5b-instruct | 20.5 | 91.3 | 9.33 | 13 | 2 | 0.33 | 2 |