The typical standard errors between pairs of models on this dataset as a function of the absolute accuracy.
The standard error of each model pair against their observed accuracy difference. Pairs below a reference line differ by more than the corresponding number of standard errors, i.e. they are statistically distinguishable at that level.
| model | pass1 | pass@count | win_rate | count | SE(A) | SE_x(A) | SE_pred(A) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| google_gemma_3_27b_it | 86.1 | 93.3 | 46.6 | 8 | 0.49 | 0.41 | 0.26 |
| qwen3-14b | 82.8 | 93.4 | 44 | 10 | 0.53 | 0.43 | 0.32 |
| google_gemma_3_12b_it | 80.1 | 92.2 | 41.9 | 11 | 0.56 | 0.46 | 0.32 |
| qwen3-4b | 78.6 | 92.1 | 40.7 | 12 | 0.58 | 0.47 | 0.34 |
| qwen3-8b | 78.2 | 92.8 | 40.5 | 10 | 0.58 | 0.46 | 0.36 |
| qwen3-32b | 76.9 | 94.2 | 40.2 | 10 | 0.6 | 0.41 | 0.43 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_70b | 73.6 | 92.4 | 39.4 | 9 | 0.62 | 0.46 | 0.43 |
| google_gemma_3_4b_it | 72 | 87.9 | 36 | 13 | 0.63 | 0.53 | 0.35 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_7b | 71.8 | 95.6 | 38.8 | 12 | 0.64 | 0.37 | 0.52 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_8b | 69.1 | 94.6 | 36.2 | 12 | 0.65 | 0.4 | 0.52 |
| qwen3-1.7b | 63.9 | 86.5 | 30.5 | 12 | 0.68 | 0.53 | 0.42 |
| llama-3.1-70B-instruct | 62.9 | 63.1 | 29.8 | 12 | 0.68 | 0.68 | 0.06 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_1.5b | 62.6 | 93.4 | 31.6 | 12 | 0.68 | 0.39 | 0.56 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_14b | 61.3 | 92.6 | 32.7 | 11 | 0.69 | 0.41 | 0.55 |
| qwen2-72b-instruct | 59.3 | 85.6 | 27.4 | 10 | 0.69 | 0.51 | 0.47 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_32b | 58 | 90.2 | 30.6 | 9 | 0.7 | 0.44 | 0.54 |
| qwen2.5-coder-32b-instruct | 55.1 | 86.1 | 26.1 | 10 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| google_gemma_2_27b_it | 51.9 | 71.6 | 22.5 | 7 | 0.71 | 0.58 | 0.4 |
| qwen2.5-coder-14b-instruct | 49.4 | 82.3 | 21.7 | 9 | 0.71 | 0.48 | 0.52 |
| qwen2.5-coder-7b-instruct | 45.9 | 83.4 | 20.1 | 11 | 0.7 | 0.45 | 0.55 |
| google_gemma_2_9b_it | 44.9 | 67 | 18.2 | 10 | 0.7 | 0.59 | 0.39 |
| qwen1.5-72b-chat | 43.5 | 72.7 | 17.8 | 10 | 0.7 | 0.53 | 0.46 |
| qwen1.5-32b-chat | 42.2 | 72.4 | 17.1 | 10 | 0.7 | 0.52 | 0.46 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x22b_instruct_v0.1 | 41.8 | 75.4 | 17.1 | 10 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.49 |
| mistralai_mathstral_7b_v0.1 | 39.7 | 74.9 | 15.9 | 11 | 0.69 | 0.49 | 0.49 |
| mistralai_ministral_8b_instruct_2410 | 38.3 | 74.3 | 15.2 | 11 | 0.69 | 0.48 | 0.49 |
| llama-3.2-3B-instruct | 37.8 | 38 | 15.1 | 19 | 0.69 | 0.68 | 0.064 |
| llama-3.1-8B-instruct | 37.5 | 37.7 | 15 | 16 | 0.68 | 0.68 | 0.064 |
| qwen3-0.6b | 37 | 70.8 | 14.8 | 13 | 0.68 | 0.5 | 0.46 |
| qwen2.5-coder-3b-instruct | 36.7 | 75.8 | 14.9 | 12 | 0.68 | 0.44 | 0.52 |
| qwen2-7b-instruct | 36.2 | 72.6 | 15 | 11 | 0.68 | 0.44 | 0.51 |
| google_gemma_3_1b_it | 33.3 | 60.3 | 13 | 12 | 0.67 | 0.53 | 0.41 |
| qwen1.5-14b-chat | 31.5 | 64 | 11.8 | 10 | 0.66 | 0.47 | 0.46 |
| qwen2.5-coder-1.5b-instruct | 27.2 | 65.9 | 10.1 | 12 | 0.63 | 0.4 | 0.48 |
| deepseek_v2_lite_chat | 25.7 | 57.3 | 9.1 | 10 | 0.62 | 0.44 | 0.44 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x7b_instruct_v0.1 | 25.6 | 58.6 | 9.16 | 10 | 0.62 | 0.43 | 0.45 |
| google_codegemma_1.1_7b_it | 20.5 | 53.3 | 7.12 | 13 | 0.57 | 0.4 | 0.41 |
| qwen1.5-7b-chat | 20.5 | 51.5 | 7.02 | 10 | 0.57 | 0.38 | 0.43 |
| llama-3.2-1B-instruct | 18.7 | 18.9 | 6.38 | 21 | 0.55 | 0.55 | 0.051 |
| qwen2-1.5b-instruct | 15.1 | 50.1 | 5.06 | 12 | 0.51 | 0.3 | 0.41 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.3 | 13.2 | 42.7 | 4.26 | 11 | 0.48 | 0.3 | 0.37 |
| google_gemma_7b_it | 11.9 | 31.7 | 3.91 | 12 | 0.46 | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.2 | 10.3 | 33.8 | 3.2 | 11 | 0.43 | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| qwen2-0.5b-instruct | 7.62 | 34.4 | 2.41 | 13 | 0.38 | 0.2 | 0.32 |
| qwen2.5-coder-0.5b-instruct | 7.22 | 34 | 2.29 | 13 | 0.37 | 0.19 | 0.32 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.1 | 7.06 | 28.8 | 2.21 | 11 | 0.36 | 0.21 | 0.3 |
| google_gemma_2b_it | 6.33 | 22.2 | 2.11 | 12 | 0.34 | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| qwen1.5-1.8b-chat | 5.22 | 25.4 | 1.67 | 10 | 0.31 | 0.15 | 0.28 |
| qwen1.5-0.5b-chat | 1.3 | 11.2 | 0.486 | 13 | 0.16 | 0.049 | 0.15 |