The typical standard errors between pairs of models on this dataset as a function of the absolute accuracy.
The standard error of each model pair against their observed accuracy difference. Pairs below a reference line differ by more than the corresponding number of standard errors, i.e. they are statistically distinguishable at that level.
| model | pass1 | pass@count | win_rate | count | SE(A) | SE_x(A) | SE_pred(A) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| qwen3-14b | 72.2 | 80 | 31.4 | 12 | 2 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| qwen2.5-coder-14b-instruct | 72.1 | 88.2 | 32.9 | 12 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| google_gemma_3_12b_it | 69.3 | 76.6 | 29.3 | 11 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.73 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_70b | 66.3 | 81.2 | 26.7 | 11 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| qwen3-8b | 66.1 | 76.8 | 27.1 | 12 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.88 |
| qwen2.5-coder-7b-instruct | 64.8 | 85.8 | 27.9 | 10 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| qwen3-4b | 64.1 | 74.8 | 25.5 | 12 | 2.1 | 2 | 0.83 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x22b_instruct_v0.1 | 63.9 | 80.2 | 25.2 | 11 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| google_gemma_3_4b_it | 60 | 69.8 | 22.6 | 13 | 2.2 | 2 | 0.81 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_14b | 57.1 | 77.6 | 21.1 | 11 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| llama-3.1-8B-instruct | 56.2 | 56.2 | 19.9 | 15 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0 |
| qwen2.5-coder-3b-instruct | 55 | 81.4 | 20.6 | 12 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x7b_instruct_v0.1 | 52.1 | 71.8 | 17.7 | 12 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| mistralai_ministral_8b_instruct_2410 | 52 | 73.6 | 17.3 | 11 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| qwen2-7b-instruct | 51.1 | 72.6 | 17.2 | 11 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| llama-3.2-3B-instruct | 48.8 | 48.8 | 15.7 | 15 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0 |
| mistralai_mathstral_7b_v0.1 | 48.7 | 75 | 15.7 | 11 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| qwen3-1.7b | 48.1 | 62.6 | 15.7 | 12 | 2.2 | 2 | 0.99 |
| deepseek_v2_lite_chat | 44.5 | 67.8 | 13.6 | 11 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| qwen2.5-coder-1.5b-instruct | 43.7 | 72.2 | 13.8 | 11 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| qwen1.5-14b-chat | 40.2 | 62.2 | 11.4 | 12 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_8b | 39.5 | 66.6 | 11.7 | 12 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.3 | 39.2 | 61.6 | 10.7 | 11 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_7b | 39.2 | 68.2 | 12 | 11 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.2 | 36.4 | 58 | 9.98 | 10 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| qwen1.5-7b-chat | 34.8 | 56.2 | 9.06 | 12 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| llama-3.2-1B-instruct | 32 | 32 | 8.18 | 11 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0 |
| qwen2.5-coder-0.5b-instruct | 31.9 | 60.8 | 8.37 | 13 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.1 | 30.5 | 58.6 | 7.54 | 11 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| qwen3-0.6b | 27.6 | 51.6 | 6.97 | 13 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| qwen2-1.5b-instruct | 23.5 | 56.4 | 5.27 | 13 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_1.5b | 14.6 | 38.8 | 3.2 | 12 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| qwen2-0.5b-instruct | 13 | 38.6 | 2.3 | 13 | 1.5 | 0.97 | 1.1 |
| qwen1.5-1.8b-chat | 12.6 | 33.6 | 2.31 | 11 | 1.5 | 1 | 1.1 |
| qwen1.5-0.5b-chat | 4.17 | 17.4 | 0.577 | 13 | 0.89 | 0.54 | 0.71 |