The typical standard errors between pairs of models on this dataset as a function of the absolute accuracy.
The standard error of each model pair against their observed accuracy difference. Pairs below a reference line differ by more than the corresponding number of standard errors, i.e. they are statistically distinguishable at that level.
| model | pass1 | pass@count | win_rate | count | SE(A) | SE_x(A) | SE_pred(A) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_70b | 38.3 | 53.3 | 33.3 | 2 | 8.9 | 5.4 | 7.1 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_32b | 35 | 46.7 | 30 | 2 | 8.7 | 6.1 | 6.2 |
| google_gemma_3_27b_it | 27.8 | 43.3 | 23.1 | 3 | 8.2 | 5.5 | 6.1 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_7b | 25.8 | 40 | 21.8 | 4 | 8 | 6.1 | 5.2 |
| qwen3-32b | 25.6 | 40 | 20.8 | 3 | 8 | 5.8 | 5.4 |
| qwen3-14b | 23.3 | 30 | 18.8 | 3 | 7.7 | 6.7 | 3.8 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_14b | 21.7 | 43.3 | 18 | 4 | 7.5 | 5.5 | 5.1 |
| google_gemma_3_12b_it | 19.2 | 26.7 | 15.1 | 4 | 7.2 | 6.1 | 3.7 |
| qwen3-8b | 17.8 | 26.7 | 14.2 | 3 | 7 | 5.1 | 4.7 |
| qwen3-4b | 17.5 | 26.7 | 13.6 | 4 | 6.9 | 5.9 | 3.7 |
| llama-3.1-70B-instruct | 16.7 | 16.7 | 13.6 | 4 | 6.8 | 6.8 | 0 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_1.5b | 13.3 | 23.3 | 10.4 | 4 | 6.2 | 4.9 | 3.8 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_8b | 13.3 | 23.3 | 10.4 | 4 | 6.2 | 4.5 | 4.3 |
| qwen2.5-coder-32b-instruct | 11.7 | 20 | 9.03 | 2 | 5.9 | 2.6 | 5.3 |
| google_gemma_3_4b_it | 8 | 13.3 | 5.68 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| qwen2.5-coder-14b-instruct | 7.78 | 10 | 6.31 | 3 | 4.9 | 4.5 | 1.9 |
| llama-3.2-3B-instruct | 6.67 | 6.67 | 4.59 | 10 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 0 |
| llama-3.1-8B-instruct | 6.67 | 6.67 | 6.31 | 7 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 0 |
| qwen2.5-coder-7b-instruct | 4.17 | 10 | 2.97 | 4 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 2.9 |
| qwen3-1.7b | 4.17 | 6.67 | 2.87 | 4 | 3.6 | 3.2 | 1.7 |
| qwen2-math-7b-instruct | 3.33 | 6.67 | 2.26 | 2 | 3.3 | 0 | 3.3 |
| qwen2-72b-instruct | 3.33 | 6.67 | 2.68 | 2 | 3.3 | 0 | 3.3 |
| qwen2-math-1.5b-instruct | 3.33 | 3.33 | 2.32 | 3 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 0 |
| llama-3.2-1B-instruct | 3.33 | 3.33 | 3 | 13 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 0 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x7b_instruct_v0.1 | 2.22 | 6.67 | 2.14 | 3 | 2.7 | 0 | 2.7 |
| google_gemma_2_27b_it | 1.67 | 3.33 | 1.14 | 2 | 2.3 | 0 | 2.4 |
| google_gemma_3_1b_it | 1.67 | 6.67 | 1.53 | 4 | 2.3 | 0 | 2.4 |
| mistralai_mathstral_7b_v0.1 | 1.67 | 3.33 | 1.43 | 4 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| qwen2.5-coder-3b-instruct | 1.67 | 6.67 | 1.28 | 4 | 2.3 | 0 | 2.4 |
| qwen1.5-14b-chat | 1.11 | 3.33 | 0.757 | 3 | 1.9 | 0 | 1.9 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x22b_instruct_v0.1 | 1.11 | 3.33 | 0.743 | 3 | 1.9 | 0 | 1.9 |
| google_gemma_2_9b_it | 0.833 | 3.33 | 0.556 | 4 | 1.7 | 0 | 1.7 |
| qwen2.5-coder-1.5b-instruct | 0.833 | 3.33 | 0.71 | 4 | 1.7 | 0 | 1.7 |
| qwen2.5-coder-0.5b-instruct | 0.667 | 3.33 | 0.453 | 5 | 1.5 | 0 | 1.5 |
| google_codegemma_1.1_7b_it | 0.667 | 3.33 | 0.453 | 5 | 1.5 | 0 | 1.5 |
| google_gemma_7b_it | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| google_gemma_2b_it | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| deepseek_v2_lite_chat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| qwen1.5-7b-chat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| qwen2-1.5b-instruct | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| qwen2-0.5b-instruct | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| qwen1.5-0.5b-chat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| mistralai_ministral_8b_instruct_2410 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| qwen1.5-72b-chat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| qwen1.5-32b-chat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| qwen1.5-1.8b-chat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| qwen2-7b-instruct | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| qwen3-0.6b | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |