The typical standard errors between pairs of models on this dataset as a function of the absolute accuracy.
The standard error of each model pair against their observed accuracy difference. Pairs below a reference line differ by more than the corresponding number of standard errors, i.e. they are statistically distinguishable at that level.
| model | pass1 | pass@count | win_rate | count | SE(A) | SE_x(A) | SE_pred(A) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| qwen3-32b | 92 | 94.2 | 33.7 | 2 | 1 | 0.85 | 0.56 |
| qwen3-14b | 89.7 | 92.8 | 32.1 | 3 | 1.1 | 0.98 | 0.57 |
| google_gemma_3_27b_it | 88.7 | 92.5 | 31.6 | 3 | 1.2 | 0.99 | 0.65 |
| qwen2-72b-instruct | 88.7 | 92 | 31.6 | 2 | 1.2 | 0.97 | 0.67 |
| llama-3.1-70B-instruct | 87.8 | 87.8 | 31.2 | 4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_70b | 87.4 | 91.8 | 31 | 2 | 1.2 | 0.96 | 0.79 |
| qwen3-8b | 87.1 | 93 | 30.5 | 3 | 1.3 | 1 | 0.75 |
| qwen2.5-coder-32b-instruct | 85.8 | 90.4 | 29.6 | 2 | 1.3 | 1 | 0.81 |
| google_gemma_3_12b_it | 85 | 89.3 | 29 | 3 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.64 |
| google_gemma_2_27b_it | 83.9 | 88.5 | 28.7 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| qwen3-4b | 83.4 | 90.3 | 28.8 | 4 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.74 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_32b | 82.8 | 88.6 | 28.6 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_14b | 82.4 | 91.8 | 27.9 | 4 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| qwen1.5-72b-chat | 81.9 | 88.7 | 27.5 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.98 |
| google_gemma_2_9b_it | 80.1 | 87.1 | 26.4 | 3 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.84 |
| qwen2.5-coder-14b-instruct | 79.1 | 91 | 26.2 | 3 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| qwen1.5-32b-chat | 79 | 85.7 | 26 | 2 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.96 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x22b_instruct_v0.1 | 77.4 | 87.1 | 27 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| qwen2-math-72b-instruct | 75.1 | 86.8 | 25.2 | 2 | 1.6 | 0.99 | 1.3 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x7b_instruct_v0.1 | 72.1 | 84.7 | 23 | 3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| qwen3-1.7b | 71.4 | 83.8 | 23 | 4 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.99 |
| qwen1.5-14b-chat | 69.9 | 80.3 | 21.7 | 3 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1 |
| llama-3.1-8B-instruct | 69.1 | 69.1 | 21.2 | 7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0 |
| qwen2-7b-instruct | 68.6 | 88.6 | 21.5 | 4 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| google_gemma_3_4b_it | 68.3 | 83.3 | 21.4 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1 |
| qwen2.5-coder-7b-instruct | 67 | 87.5 | 21 | 4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| mistralai_ministral_8b_instruct_2410 | 66.5 | 85.1 | 20.6 | 3 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_8b | 60.7 | 85.1 | 19 | 4 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.3 | 59.9 | 79 | 18.1 | 4 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| qwen1.5-7b-chat | 59.8 | 76.7 | 17.8 | 3 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| qwen2-math-7b-instruct | 58.7 | 85 | 18.9 | 4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| llama-3.2-3B-instruct | 58.5 | 58.5 | 17.6 | 10 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0 |
| deepseek_v2_lite_chat | 54.6 | 66.9 | 16.3 | 2 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| mistralai_mathstral_7b_v0.1 | 52.9 | 81.9 | 15.9 | 4 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| google_codegemma_1.1_7b_it | 52.3 | 76.2 | 15.5 | 5 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.2 | 52.2 | 74 | 15.4 | 4 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| qwen2.5-coder-3b-instruct | 51.8 | 82.1 | 15.9 | 4 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_7b | 49.4 | 76.4 | 14.8 | 4 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| google_gemma_7b_it | 47.9 | 67.7 | 14.4 | 4 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| qwen3-0.6b | 47.2 | 76.8 | 14.4 | 5 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.1 | 41.7 | 72 | 12 | 4 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| google_gemma_3_1b_it | 34.8 | 58.9 | 10.1 | 4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| google_gemma_2b_it | 32.2 | 45.4 | 9.9 | 4 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.99 |
| qwen2-1.5b-instruct | 31.2 | 62.6 | 9.15 | 4 | 1.7 | 0.99 | 1.4 |
| qwen2.5-coder-1.5b-instruct | 31.1 | 68.8 | 9.98 | 4 | 1.7 | 0.69 | 1.6 |
| llama-3.2-1B-instruct | 29.3 | 29.3 | 8.74 | 13 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0 |
| qwen1.5-1.8b-chat | 24 | 46.6 | 7.02 | 3 | 1.6 | 0.81 | 1.4 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_1.5b | 21.8 | 50.4 | 6.34 | 4 | 1.5 | 0.73 | 1.4 |
| qwen2-math-1.5b-instruct | 21.8 | 52.3 | 7.79 | 4 | 1.5 | 0.71 | 1.4 |
| qwen2-0.5b-instruct | 18.5 | 56 | 6.14 | 5 | 1.5 | 0.49 | 1.4 |
| qwen2.5-coder-0.5b-instruct | 18.1 | 58.6 | 6.47 | 5 | 1.4 | 0.35 | 1.4 |
| qwen1.5-0.5b-chat | 15.1 | 48.5 | 5.34 | 5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.2 |