The typical standard errors between pairs of models on this dataset as a function of the absolute accuracy.
The standard error of each model pair against their observed accuracy difference. Pairs below a reference line differ by more than the corresponding number of standard errors, i.e. they are statistically distinguishable at that level.
| model | pass1 | pass@count | win_rate | count | SE(A) | SE_x(A) | SE_pred(A) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| qwen2.5-coder-32b-instruct | 74.2 | 82.1 | 48.8 | 2 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1 |
| google_gemma_3_27b_it | 68.9 | 81.1 | 44.1 | 3 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| qwen2.5-coder-14b-instruct | 62.7 | 81.8 | 39.7 | 3 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| google_gemma_3_12b_it | 61.3 | 78.2 | 37.7 | 4 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| qwen2-72b-instruct | 53.8 | 66.9 | 32.2 | 2 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| llama-3.1-70B-instruct | 53.1 | 53.1 | 32.1 | 4 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0 |
| google_gemma_2_27b_it | 52.8 | 65 | 31.4 | 2 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x22b_instruct_v0.1 | 48.5 | 70 | 28.7 | 3 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| qwen2.5-coder-7b-instruct | 46.7 | 70 | 27.6 | 4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| google_gemma_3_4b_it | 43.8 | 69.5 | 25.4 | 5 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| qwen1.5-72b-chat | 43.6 | 58.4 | 25.2 | 2 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| google_gemma_2_9b_it | 42.7 | 60.4 | 24.1 | 3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| google_codegemma_1.1_7b_it | 40.5 | 70 | 23.3 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| qwen3-4b | 39 | 59 | 22.2 | 4 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| qwen2.5-coder-3b-instruct | 38.9 | 66.6 | 22.3 | 4 | 1.7 | 1 | 1.4 |
| qwen1.5-32b-chat | 37.5 | 57.2 | 20.6 | 3 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| qwen3-1.7b | 37.2 | 59.4 | 21 | 4 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| qwen2-math-72b-instruct | 35.8 | 51.2 | 20.4 | 2 | 1.7 | 0.97 | 1.4 |
| qwen1.5-14b-chat | 35.4 | 54 | 19.4 | 3 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_70b | 34.1 | 45.4 | 18.7 | 2 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_14b | 34.1 | 58.5 | 18.9 | 4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| mistralai_ministral_8b_instruct_2410 | 32.2 | 57.5 | 17.2 | 4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| mistralai_mathstral_7b_v0.1 | 32.2 | 56 | 17.2 | 4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| qwen3-32b | 31.3 | 46.2 | 17.1 | 3 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| qwen2-7b-instruct | 31 | 56.5 | 16.6 | 4 | 1.6 | 1 | 1.3 |
| qwen3-14b | 29.7 | 40.1 | 15.9 | 3 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.91 |
| llama-3.1-8B-instruct | 27.6 | 27.6 | 14.9 | 7 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0 |
| google_gemma_7b_it | 27.6 | 53.2 | 15.9 | 4 | 1.6 | 0.91 | 1.3 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x7b_instruct_v0.1 | 26.1 | 45.8 | 13.8 | 3 | 1.6 | 0.96 | 1.2 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.3 | 25.6 | 46.6 | 13 | 4 | 1.5 | 1 | 1.1 |
| qwen2.5-coder-1.5b-instruct | 24 | 52 | 13.1 | 4 | 1.5 | 0.79 | 1.3 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_8b | 23.7 | 43.4 | 12 | 4 | 1.5 | 1 | 1.1 |
| qwen1.5-7b-chat | 22.7 | 39 | 11.9 | 3 | 1.5 | 0.96 | 1.1 |
| llama-3.2-3B-instruct | 21.2 | 21.2 | 11.6 | 10 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0 |
| deepseek_v2_lite_chat | 21.2 | 40.2 | 11 | 3 | 1.4 | 0.82 | 1.2 |
| qwen3-8b | 18.6 | 33.2 | 10 | 3 | 1.4 | 0.87 | 1.1 |
| qwen2.5-coder-0.5b-instruct | 18 | 48.5 | 10.4 | 5 | 1.4 | 0.62 | 1.2 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.2 | 17.3 | 39.5 | 8.83 | 4 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| qwen3-0.6b | 15.4 | 40.8 | 8.46 | 5 | 1.3 | 0.65 | 1.1 |
| google_gemma_2b_it | 15.3 | 36.6 | 9.39 | 4 | 1.3 | 0.67 | 1.1 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.1 | 13.6 | 33.4 | 6.84 | 4 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_7b | 12 | 28.9 | 5.92 | 4 | 1.1 | 0.58 | 0.99 |
| qwen2-math-7b-instruct | 7.44 | 22.1 | 3.89 | 4 | 0.93 | 0.38 | 0.85 |
| qwen2-1.5b-instruct | 6.72 | 21.1 | 3.64 | 4 | 0.89 | 0.28 | 0.84 |
| llama-3.2-1B-instruct | 3.62 | 3.62 | 2.07 | 13 | 0.66 | 0.66 | 0 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_32b | 3.5 | 6.62 | 1.66 | 2 | 0.65 | 0.18 | 0.62 |
| qwen2-0.5b-instruct | 1.95 | 9 | 1.03 | 5 | 0.49 | 0.068 | 0.48 |
| qwen2-math-1.5b-instruct | 1.84 | 6.75 | 0.915 | 4 | 0.48 | 0.094 | 0.47 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_1.5b | 1.78 | 6 | 0.722 | 4 | 0.47 | 0.15 | 0.44 |
| qwen1.5-1.8b-chat | 1.04 | 3.12 | 0.616 | 3 | 0.36 | 0 | 0.36 |
| qwen1.5-0.5b-chat | 0.375 | 1.88 | 0.167 | 5 | 0.22 | 0 | 0.22 |
| google_gemma_3_1b_it | 0.0938 | 0.375 | 0.0484 | 4 | 0.11 | 0 | 0.11 |