The typical standard errors between pairs of models on this dataset as a function of the absolute accuracy.
The standard error of each model pair against their observed accuracy difference. Pairs below a reference line differ by more than the corresponding number of standard errors, i.e. they are statistically distinguishable at that level.
| model | pass1 | pass@count | win_rate | count | SE(A) | SE_x(A) | SE_pred(A) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| qwen2.5-coder-32b-instruct | 81.5 | 87 | 48.5 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.83 |
| qwen2.5-coder-14b-instruct | 76.2 | 85.6 | 43.9 | 3 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.92 |
| qwen3-14b | 76.2 | 86.1 | 44 | 3 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.92 |
| google_gemma_3_27b_it | 75.9 | 83.9 | 43.6 | 3 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.82 |
| google_gemma_3_12b_it | 69.4 | 81.6 | 38.6 | 4 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.92 |
| qwen3-32b | 66.9 | 74.6 | 37.1 | 2 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.98 |
| llama-3.1-70B-instruct | 65.4 | 65.4 | 35.4 | 4 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0 |
| qwen2-72b-instruct | 60.4 | 72.8 | 32.1 | 2 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| google_gemma_2_27b_it | 59.9 | 68.9 | 31.6 | 2 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x22b_instruct_v0.1 | 57.2 | 67.5 | 29.5 | 2 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| qwen3-4b | 56.9 | 72.8 | 29.6 | 4 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_70b | 55.4 | 67.2 | 29 | 2 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| google_gemma_3_4b_it | 54.9 | 71.6 | 28 | 5 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1 |
| qwen2.5-coder-7b-instruct | 50.9 | 69.5 | 25.4 | 4 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| google_gemma_2_9b_it | 46.9 | 59.5 | 22.5 | 3 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_14b | 45.9 | 74 | 24.1 | 4 | 1.8 | 1 | 1.5 |
| qwen1.5-72b-chat | 45.9 | 58 | 22.3 | 2 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| qwen1.5-32b-chat | 44.9 | 56.5 | 21.5 | 2 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| qwen2.5-coder-3b-instruct | 44.5 | 65.8 | 21.3 | 4 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x7b_instruct_v0.1 | 41.4 | 59.8 | 19.6 | 3 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_8b | 39.3 | 62.4 | 18.9 | 4 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| mistralai_ministral_8b_instruct_2410 | 39.2 | 60.5 | 17.8 | 4 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| google_codegemma_1.1_7b_it | 36.2 | 58 | 16.5 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| llama-3.1-8B-instruct | 34.6 | 34.6 | 16 | 7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0 |
| mistralai_mathstral_7b_v0.1 | 34.4 | 56.6 | 15.4 | 4 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| qwen1.5-14b-chat | 33.7 | 50.5 | 14.9 | 3 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| qwen2-math-72b-instruct | 33.2 | 48.6 | 16.2 | 2 | 1.7 | 0.92 | 1.4 |
| qwen2-7b-instruct | 32.4 | 55.5 | 14.4 | 4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| qwen3-1.7b | 31.5 | 60.5 | 15.6 | 4 | 1.6 | 0.88 | 1.4 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.3 | 31.3 | 52.1 | 13.7 | 4 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_32b | 27.7 | 42.9 | 13.4 | 2 | 1.6 | 0.78 | 1.4 |
| google_gemma_3_1b_it | 26.8 | 43.9 | 12 | 4 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| qwen3-8b | 25.9 | 43.9 | 11.6 | 3 | 1.5 | 0.99 | 1.2 |
| qwen3-0.6b | 25 | 51.4 | 11.2 | 5 | 1.5 | 0.92 | 1.2 |
| qwen1.5-7b-chat | 24.8 | 40.5 | 10.6 | 3 | 1.5 | 1 | 1.1 |
| google_gemma_7b_it | 24.7 | 39.1 | 10.8 | 4 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1 |
| deepseek_v2_lite_chat | 24.4 | 41.5 | 10.5 | 3 | 1.5 | 0.97 | 1.2 |
| llama-3.2-3B-instruct | 20.6 | 20.6 | 8.53 | 10 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0 |
| qwen2.5-coder-1.5b-instruct | 19.9 | 43.5 | 8.58 | 4 | 1.4 | 0.75 | 1.2 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.1 | 17.9 | 38.5 | 7.62 | 4 | 1.4 | 0.78 | 1.1 |
| qwen2.5-coder-0.5b-instruct | 16.8 | 40.2 | 7.28 | 5 | 1.3 | 0.75 | 1.1 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.2 | 16.1 | 38.1 | 7.01 | 4 | 1.3 | 0.63 | 1.1 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_7b | 12.2 | 33.5 | 5.32 | 4 | 1.2 | 0.45 | 1.1 |
| google_gemma_2b_it | 9.59 | 23.1 | 4.29 | 4 | 1 | 0.57 | 0.87 |
| qwen2-math-1.5b-instruct | 8.41 | 23.8 | 3.45 | 4 | 0.98 | 0.39 | 0.9 |
| llama-3.2-1B-instruct | 7.62 | 7.62 | 3.05 | 13 | 0.94 | 0.94 | 0 |
| qwen2-1.5b-instruct | 5.75 | 16.4 | 2.29 | 4 | 0.82 | 0.35 | 0.74 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_1.5b | 5.59 | 18.2 | 2.26 | 4 | 0.81 | 0.22 | 0.78 |
| qwen2-math-7b-instruct | 5.5 | 18.2 | 2.34 | 4 | 0.81 | 0.21 | 0.78 |
| qwen1.5-0.5b-chat | 1.73 | 7.12 | 0.798 | 5 | 0.46 | 0.13 | 0.44 |
| qwen2-0.5b-instruct | 0.525 | 2.62 | 0.264 | 5 | 0.26 | 0 | 0.26 |
| qwen1.5-1.8b-chat | 0.375 | 1 | 0.171 | 3 | 0.22 | 0.071 | 0.2 |