The typical standard errors between pairs of models on this dataset as a function of the absolute accuracy.
The standard error of each model pair against their observed accuracy difference. Pairs below a reference line differ by more than the corresponding number of standard errors, i.e. they are statistically distinguishable at that level.
| model | pass1 | pass@count | win_rate | count | SE(A) | SE_x(A) | SE_pred(A) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| qwen3-32b | 92 | 95.7 | 42.1 | 3 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| qwen3-14b | 90.2 | 95.7 | 40.6 | 3 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| qwen3-8b | 86.2 | 94.6 | 38.5 | 3 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 2.6 |
| qwen2.5-coder-32b-instruct | 85.9 | 90.2 | 37.7 | 2 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| google_gemma_3_27b_it | 83.3 | 88 | 35.6 | 3 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 1.8 |
| qwen2-72b-instruct | 82.1 | 90.2 | 36.1 | 2 | 4 | 2.7 | 3 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_32b | 81.5 | 88 | 36.4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2.7 |
| qwen3-4b | 81.2 | 92.4 | 35 | 4 | 4.1 | 3 | 2.8 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_70b | 81 | 84.8 | 35.3 | 2 | 4.1 | 3.6 | 2 |
| google_gemma_3_12b_it | 78.8 | 89.1 | 33.4 | 4 | 4.3 | 3.4 | 2.5 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_14b | 78.5 | 87 | 34 | 4 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| google_gemma_2_27b_it | 78.3 | 85.9 | 33.3 | 2 | 4.3 | 3.2 | 2.9 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x22b_instruct_v0.1 | 77.5 | 91.3 | 33.7 | 3 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 3.4 |
| qwen2.5-coder-14b-instruct | 76.1 | 89.1 | 32 | 3 | 4.4 | 3 | 3.3 |
| google_gemma_2_9b_it | 72.3 | 85.9 | 30.2 | 4 | 4.7 | 3.6 | 3 |
| qwen1.5-72b-chat | 66.8 | 80.4 | 28.2 | 2 | 4.9 | 3.1 | 3.8 |
| qwen1.5-32b-chat | 66.3 | 84.8 | 27.2 | 3 | 4.9 | 3.3 | 3.7 |
| qwen2-math-72b-instruct | 64.7 | 83.7 | 28 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 4.5 |
| google_gemma_3_4b_it | 64.1 | 82.6 | 26.1 | 5 | 5 | 3.7 | 3.4 |
| qwen2.5-coder-7b-instruct | 63 | 91.3 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4.1 |
| qwen3-1.7b | 61.7 | 84.8 | 25.2 | 4 | 5.1 | 3.3 | 3.9 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_7b | 61.7 | 78.3 | 25.7 | 4 | 5.1 | 3.8 | 3.4 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_8b | 59.2 | 79.3 | 23.3 | 4 | 5.1 | 3.6 | 3.6 |
| llama-3.1-8B-instruct | 58.7 | 58.7 | 24.7 | 7 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 0 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x7b_instruct_v0.1 | 54.7 | 79.3 | 22.6 | 3 | 5.2 | 3.2 | 4.1 |
| qwen2-math-7b-instruct | 54.3 | 70.7 | 22.8 | 2 | 5.2 | 3 | 4.2 |
| qwen1.5-14b-chat | 53.3 | 76.1 | 21.3 | 3 | 5.2 | 3.2 | 4.1 |
| qwen2-7b-instruct | 50.8 | 81.5 | 20 | 4 | 5.2 | 2.9 | 4.3 |
| mistralai_mathstral_7b_v0.1 | 50.5 | 83.7 | 19.7 | 4 | 5.2 | 2.9 | 4.3 |
| mistralai_ministral_8b_instruct_2410 | 50.5 | 76.1 | 19.3 | 4 | 5.2 | 3.3 | 4 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.3 | 46.5 | 77.2 | 18 | 4 | 5.2 | 3.1 | 4.2 |
| qwen3-0.6b | 43.3 | 72.8 | 17.2 | 5 | 5.2 | 3.4 | 3.9 |
| qwen2.5-coder-3b-instruct | 39.7 | 76.1 | 15.7 | 4 | 5.1 | 2.4 | 4.5 |
| deepseek_v2_lite_chat | 39.5 | 62 | 15.4 | 3 | 5.1 | 3.1 | 4 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.2 | 39.4 | 64.1 | 16 | 4 | 5.1 | 3.3 | 3.9 |
| llama-3.2-3B-instruct | 38 | 38 | 16.2 | 10 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 0 |
| qwen1.5-7b-chat | 38 | 63 | 15.1 | 3 | 5.1 | 2.8 | 4.2 |
| google_gemma_7b_it | 35.9 | 63 | 14.1 | 4 | 5 | 3.2 | 3.9 |
| google_codegemma_1.1_7b_it | 33.7 | 69.6 | 12.7 | 5 | 4.9 | 2.6 | 4.2 |
| google_gemma_2b_it | 32.1 | 40.2 | 11.8 | 4 | 4.9 | 4.3 | 2.3 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.1 | 30.7 | 68.5 | 12.5 | 4 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 4.5 |
| google_gemma_3_1b_it | 29.9 | 58.7 | 11.7 | 4 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 3.8 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_1.5b | 26.4 | 52.2 | 10.2 | 4 | 4.6 | 2.5 | 3.8 |
| qwen2-1.5b-instruct | 26.4 | 59.8 | 10.8 | 4 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 4.2 |
| qwen2.5-coder-1.5b-instruct | 25.5 | 62 | 10.6 | 4 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 4.2 |
| llama-3.2-1B-instruct | 20.7 | 20.7 | 7.9 | 13 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 0 |
| qwen2.5-coder-0.5b-instruct | 12.6 | 47.8 | 5.66 | 5 | 3.5 | 0.53 | 3.4 |
| qwen2-0.5b-instruct | 12.2 | 46.7 | 5.53 | 5 | 3.4 | 0.53 | 3.4 |
| qwen1.5-1.8b-chat | 12 | 31.5 | 5.1 | 3 | 3.4 | 0.15 | 3.4 |
| qwen2-math-1.5b-instruct | 6.52 | 16.3 | 2.87 | 3 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 2.3 |
| qwen1.5-0.5b-chat | 5.65 | 25 | 2.64 | 5 | 2.4 | 0.085 | 2.4 |