The typical standard errors between pairs of models on this dataset as a function of the absolute accuracy.
The standard error of each model pair against their observed accuracy difference. Pairs below a reference line differ by more than the corresponding number of standard errors, i.e. they are statistically distinguishable at that level.
| model | pass1 | pass@count | win_rate | count | SE(A) | SE_x(A) | SE_pred(A) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| qwen3-32b | 50.2 | 62.9 | 33.6 | 2 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| google_gemma_3_27b_it | 47.3 | 47.3 | 31.8 | 1 | 2.4 | NaN | NaN |
| llama-3.1-70B-instruct | 45.3 | 45.3 | 30.4 | 4 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 0 |
| qwen3-14b | 43.2 | 59.6 | 27.9 | 3 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| qwen2.5-coder-32b-instruct | 39.7 | 52.5 | 25.5 | 2 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| qwen3-8b | 39 | 54 | 24.8 | 3 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| qwen2-72b-instruct | 36.5 | 48 | 23 | 2 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| qwen3-4b | 35.8 | 51.3 | 22.7 | 4 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| qwen2-math-72b-instruct | 35.3 | 52.5 | 22.7 | 2 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 2 |
| google_gemma_3_12b_it | 35 | 57.1 | 22.6 | 4 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| qwen1.5-32b-chat | 32.3 | 45.8 | 20.2 | 2 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| qwen3-1.7b | 32.1 | 53.6 | 21.1 | 4 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| qwen2.5-coder-14b-instruct | 31.8 | 56 | 20 | 3 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| llama-3.1-8B-instruct | 31.7 | 31.7 | 20.4 | 7 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x22b_instruct_v0.1 | 31.6 | 46.2 | 19.9 | 2 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| google_gemma_2_9b_it | 30.6 | 46.4 | 18.8 | 3 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x7b_instruct_v0.1 | 30.4 | 52.2 | 19.5 | 3 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| qwen1.5-72b-chat | 30.2 | 42.4 | 19 | 2 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| google_gemma_3_4b_it | 30 | 56.5 | 19.6 | 5 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| mistralai_mathstral_7b_v0.1 | 29.7 | 63.6 | 19.3 | 4 | 2.2 | 0.99 | 1.9 |
| qwen2-math-7b-instruct | 27.9 | 63.4 | 18.9 | 4 | 2.1 | 0.87 | 1.9 |
| qwen1.5-14b-chat | 27.7 | 48.4 | 17.8 | 3 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| google_codegemma_1.1_7b_it | 27.1 | 63.2 | 18.3 | 5 | 2.1 | 1 | 1.8 |
| qwen2.5-coder-7b-instruct | 26.7 | 61.8 | 17.5 | 4 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 1.9 |
| mistralai_ministral_8b_instruct_2410 | 26.5 | 59.2 | 17.2 | 4 | 2.1 | 0.97 | 1.8 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.3 | 26.5 | 55.4 | 16.8 | 4 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_32b | 26.3 | 33.5 | 15.9 | 2 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| llama-3.2-3B-instruct | 26.1 | 26.1 | 17.4 | 10 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0 |
| google_gemma_7b_it | 26.1 | 45.5 | 17.4 | 4 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| qwen2.5-coder-3b-instruct | 25.7 | 64.7 | 17.8 | 4 | 2.1 | 0.53 | 2 |
| deepseek_v2_lite_chat | 24.6 | 39.5 | 16.5 | 2 | 2 | 0.89 | 1.8 |
| google_gemma_3_1b_it | 24.4 | 54.2 | 17.1 | 4 | 2 | 0.99 | 1.8 |
| qwen2-7b-instruct | 24.2 | 50.9 | 15.2 | 4 | 2 | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| qwen3-0.6b | 23.5 | 56.7 | 16.2 | 5 | 2 | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_14b | 23.2 | 36.4 | 13.7 | 4 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| qwen1.5-7b-chat | 22.9 | 47.8 | 15.2 | 3 | 2 | 0.82 | 1.8 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.2 | 21.7 | 50.7 | 14.1 | 4 | 1.9 | 0.97 | 1.7 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.1 | 21.3 | 56.9 | 14.8 | 4 | 1.9 | 0.58 | 1.8 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_70b | 20.4 | 25.4 | 12 | 2 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_8b | 19.8 | 33.7 | 11.5 | 4 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_7b | 19.7 | 31.9 | 11.5 | 4 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| qwen2-math-1.5b-instruct | 17.3 | 49.3 | 12.1 | 4 | 1.8 | 0.54 | 1.7 |
| qwen2.5-coder-0.5b-instruct | 16.2 | 58.3 | 11.8 | 5 | 1.7 | 0 | 1.7 |
| qwen2.5-coder-1.5b-instruct | 16.2 | 49.8 | 11.5 | 4 | 1.7 | 0.22 | 1.7 |
| google_gemma_2b_it | 12.3 | 33 | 8.69 | 4 | 1.6 | 0.67 | 1.4 |
| qwen2-1.5b-instruct | 11 | 35.5 | 7.72 | 4 | 1.5 | 0.38 | 1.4 |
| llama-3.2-1B-instruct | 10.9 | 10.9 | 7.96 | 13 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_1.5b | 9.6 | 22.3 | 5.59 | 4 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| qwen1.5-1.8b-chat | 8.04 | 23 | 5.81 | 3 | 1.3 | 0 | 1.3 |
| qwen2-0.5b-instruct | 7.81 | 33 | 5.68 | 5 | 1.3 | 0 | 1.3 |
| qwen1.5-0.5b-chat | 1.88 | 8.48 | 1.37 | 5 | 0.64 | 0.11 | 0.63 |