The typical standard errors between pairs of models on this dataset as a function of the absolute accuracy.
The standard error of each model pair against their observed accuracy difference. Pairs below a reference line differ by more than the corresponding number of standard errors, i.e. they are statistically distinguishable at that level.
| model | pass1 | pass@count | win_rate | count | SE(A) | SE_x(A) | SE_pred(A) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| qwen3-32b | 81.4 | 85.3 | 34.3 | 2 | 0.38 | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| qwen3-14b | 81.1 | 85.2 | 34 | 3 | 0.38 | 0.34 | 0.17 |
| qwen3-8b | 78.7 | 84.6 | 32.4 | 3 | 0.4 | 0.35 | 0.2 |
| llama-3.1-70B-instruct | 77.3 | 77.3 | 32 | 4 | 0.41 | 0.41 | 0 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_70b | 76.2 | 76.2 | 31.4 | 1 | 0.41 | NaN | NaN |
| google_gemma_3_27b_it | 75.1 | 79.1 | 30.1 | 3 | 0.42 | 0.39 | 0.16 |
| qwen2-72b-instruct | 74.4 | 81.9 | 29.9 | 2 | 0.42 | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| google_gemma_3_12b_it | 74.2 | 79.9 | 29.5 | 3 | 0.43 | 0.38 | 0.19 |
| google_gemma_2_27b_it | 74 | 74 | 29.5 | 1 | 0.43 | NaN | NaN |
| qwen3-4b | 73.7 | 79.6 | 29.2 | 3 | 0.43 | 0.38 | 0.2 |
| qwen2.5-coder-32b-instruct | 73.5 | 79 | 29.2 | 2 | 0.43 | 0.36 | 0.23 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_14b | 71 | 85.4 | 28.9 | 3 | 0.44 | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| google_gemma_2_9b_it | 70.1 | 80.1 | 27.2 | 3 | 0.45 | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_32b | 70.1 | 70.1 | 29.1 | 1 | 0.45 | NaN | NaN |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_7b | 68.6 | 83.4 | 27.2 | 3 | 0.45 | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| qwen2.5-coder-14b-instruct | 66.8 | 81.9 | 25.5 | 3 | 0.46 | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| qwen2-math-72b-instruct | 66.3 | 77.9 | 25.7 | 2 | 0.46 | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| qwen1.5-72b-chat | 65.7 | 75.5 | 25 | 2 | 0.46 | 0.35 | 0.3 |
| qwen1.5-32b-chat | 64.8 | 75.9 | 24.6 | 2 | 0.46 | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| google_gemma_3_4b_it | 64.1 | 74.6 | 23.4 | 4 | 0.47 | 0.4 | 0.24 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x22b_instruct_v0.1 | 63.2 | 76.3 | 24.1 | 2 | 0.47 | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| qwen2-math-7b-instruct | 62 | 77.8 | 22.9 | 3 | 0.47 | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_8b | 62 | 83.8 | 24.3 | 4 | 0.47 | 0.3 | 0.36 |
| llama-3.1-8B-instruct | 60.6 | 60.6 | 22.7 | 7 | 0.48 | 0.48 | 0 |
| mistralai_ministral_8b_instruct_2410 | 59.7 | 77.6 | 21.8 | 3 | 0.48 | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| qwen2-7b-instruct | 59.2 | 77.6 | 21.6 | 3 | 0.48 | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| qwen3-1.7b | 58.6 | 69.4 | 21 | 3 | 0.48 | 0.4 | 0.26 |
| qwen2-math-1.5b-instruct | 56.8 | 73.3 | 20.2 | 3 | 0.48 | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| qwen1.5-14b-chat | 53.6 | 71.3 | 18.7 | 3 | 0.49 | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| qwen2.5-coder-7b-instruct | 51.9 | 73.8 | 18.4 | 3 | 0.49 | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| llama-3.2-3B-instruct | 49.6 | 49.6 | 17.2 | 10 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_1.5b | 49.6 | 76.8 | 18.8 | 4 | 0.49 | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| mistralai_mathstral_7b_v0.1 | 47.5 | 70.6 | 16.4 | 3 | 0.49 | 0.3 | 0.38 |
| deepseek_v2_lite_chat | 46.7 | 59.5 | 15.6 | 2 | 0.49 | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x7b_instruct_v0.1 | 44.8 | 66.7 | 15.3 | 3 | 0.48 | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| qwen2.5-coder-3b-instruct | 40.3 | 62.7 | 13.1 | 3 | 0.48 | 0.3 | 0.37 |
| qwen1.5-7b-chat | 40.2 | 61.1 | 13.1 | 3 | 0.48 | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| google_codegemma_1.1_7b_it | 33.5 | 56.6 | 10 | 4 | 0.46 | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.3 | 32.4 | 54.1 | 10.4 | 3 | 0.46 | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| google_gemma_3_1b_it | 28.9 | 45.6 | 8.36 | 4 | 0.44 | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| qwen3-0.6b | 28 | 49.1 | 8.4 | 4 | 0.44 | 0.3 | 0.32 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.2 | 27.9 | 47 | 8.92 | 3 | 0.44 | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| qwen2.5-coder-1.5b-instruct | 26.5 | 47.3 | 8.12 | 3 | 0.43 | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| llama-3.2-1B-instruct | 19 | 19 | 5.62 | 12 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 0 |
| google_gemma_7b_it | 18.5 | 35.8 | 5.3 | 4 | 0.38 | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.1 | 16 | 32.9 | 5.07 | 3 | 0.36 | 0.18 | 0.31 |
| qwen2-1.5b-instruct | 15.2 | 32.5 | 5.14 | 3 | 0.35 | 0.16 | 0.31 |
| qwen1.5-1.8b-chat | 11.6 | 24.5 | 4.81 | 3 | 0.31 | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| qwen2.5-coder-0.5b-instruct | 7.1 | 20.8 | 2.39 | 4 | 0.25 | 0.11 | 0.23 |
| qwen2-0.5b-instruct | 6.61 | 20.3 | 2.56 | 4 | 0.24 | 0.087 | 0.23 |
| google_gemma_2b_it | 6.2 | 15.3 | 1.81 | 4 | 0.23 | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| qwen1.5-0.5b-chat | 5.41 | 14.5 | 3.2 | 4 | 0.22 | 0.11 | 0.19 |