The typical standard errors between pairs of models on this dataset as a function of the absolute accuracy.
The standard error of each model pair against their observed accuracy difference. Pairs below a reference line differ by more than the corresponding number of standard errors, i.e. they are statistically distinguishable at that level.
| model | pass1 | pass@count | win_rate | count | SE(A) | SE_x(A) | SE_pred(A) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| google_gemma_3_27b_it | 87 | 89.6 | 47.1 | 3 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 1 |
| qwen3-14b | 85.4 | 90.2 | 46.3 | 3 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| google_gemma_3_12b_it | 82.9 | 86 | 44.1 | 4 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 1.1 |
| qwen3-32b | 80.3 | 93.3 | 43 | 3 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| qwen2.5-coder-32b-instruct | 79.3 | 89.6 | 43.2 | 2 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| qwen3-4b | 78.8 | 87.8 | 41.6 | 4 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 1.8 |
| qwen3-8b | 78.7 | 90.2 | 42.5 | 3 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 2.2 |
| qwen2.5-coder-14b-instruct | 74 | 90.9 | 39.6 | 3 | 3.4 | 2 | 2.8 |
| google_gemma_2_27b_it | 73.2 | 78.7 | 37.6 | 2 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x22b_instruct_v0.1 | 71.1 | 84.1 | 36.1 | 3 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| google_gemma_3_4b_it | 69.8 | 75.6 | 34.8 | 5 | 3.6 | 3.3 | 1.5 |
| google_gemma_2_9b_it | 63.3 | 71.3 | 30.9 | 4 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 1.7 |
| llama-3.1-8B-instruct | 59.8 | 59.8 | 28 | 7 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 0 |
| qwen3-1.7b | 58.8 | 76.2 | 28.9 | 4 | 3.8 | 3 | 2.4 |
| qwen2-math-72b-instruct | 57.9 | 72.6 | 28.8 | 2 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 3 |
| google_codegemma_1.1_7b_it | 54.9 | 75.6 | 25.5 | 5 | 3.9 | 3 | 2.5 |
| qwen1.5-14b-chat | 51.8 | 70.7 | 23.6 | 3 | 3.9 | 2.8 | 2.7 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_32b | 51.5 | 73.8 | 27.2 | 2 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 3.7 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_14b | 47.3 | 82.9 | 24.3 | 4 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 3.5 |
| qwen2-72b-instruct | 47 | 65.9 | 23.8 | 2 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 3.4 |
| qwen1.5-32b-chat | 46.7 | 64.6 | 21.7 | 3 | 3.9 | 2.8 | 2.7 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_70b | 45.1 | 65.9 | 24.2 | 2 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 3.6 |
| llama-3.2-3B-instruct | 42.1 | 42.1 | 18.2 | 10 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 0 |
| qwen1.5-72b-chat | 41.8 | 52.4 | 18.3 | 2 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 2.6 |
| google_gemma_3_1b_it | 40.1 | 48.8 | 17.6 | 4 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 1.8 |
| qwen2-7b-instruct | 39.6 | 73.2 | 18.6 | 4 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 3.3 |
| deepseek_v2_lite_chat | 39.2 | 65.9 | 17.9 | 3 | 3.8 | 2 | 3.2 |
| qwen2.5-coder-3b-instruct | 38.6 | 69.5 | 18 | 4 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 3.2 |
| qwen2.5-coder-7b-instruct | 38.6 | 74.4 | 17.9 | 4 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 3.3 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.3 | 37.7 | 53.7 | 15.3 | 4 | 3.8 | 3 | 2.3 |
| qwen1.5-7b-chat | 36.4 | 54.9 | 15.2 | 3 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 2.7 |
| mistralai_ministral_8b_instruct_2410 | 35.7 | 67.7 | 15.9 | 4 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 3.2 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x7b_instruct_v0.1 | 35 | 53.7 | 15.6 | 3 | 3.7 | 2.6 | 2.7 |
| mistralai_mathstral_7b_v0.1 | 30.6 | 59.1 | 13.1 | 4 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 3 |
| qwen2.5-coder-1.5b-instruct | 28.8 | 54.9 | 12 | 4 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 2.8 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_8b | 27.4 | 59.8 | 13 | 4 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 3.1 |
| qwen2-math-7b-instruct | 25 | 39.6 | 11.2 | 2 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 3 |
| google_gemma_7b_it | 24.4 | 37.2 | 9.48 | 4 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 2 |
| qwen2.5-coder-0.5b-instruct | 22.9 | 50 | 9.36 | 5 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 2.7 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_7b | 22 | 51.2 | 9.93 | 4 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 2.9 |
| llama-3.2-1B-instruct | 22 | 22 | 8.34 | 13 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 0 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.1 | 20.1 | 43.3 | 7.54 | 4 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 2.6 |
| qwen3-0.6b | 18.8 | 42.7 | 6.99 | 5 | 3 | 1.9 | 2.4 |
| google_gemma_2b_it | 17.7 | 28.7 | 5.79 | 4 | 3 | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.2 | 11.7 | 29.9 | 4.32 | 4 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| qwen2-1.5b-instruct | 8.38 | 28 | 3.32 | 4 | 2.2 | 0.44 | 2.1 |
| qwen1.5-1.8b-chat | 4.47 | 9.15 | 1.61 | 3 | 1.6 | 0.93 | 1.3 |
| qwen2-0.5b-instruct | 3.78 | 9.76 | 0.958 | 5 | 1.5 | 0.81 | 1.2 |
| qwen2-math-1.5b-instruct | 2.24 | 6.1 | 0.891 | 3 | 1.2 | 0.31 | 1.1 |
| qwen1.5-0.5b-chat | 1.83 | 4.88 | 0.367 | 5 | 1 | 0.62 | 0.84 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_1.5b | 1.37 | 5.49 | 0.484 | 4 | 0.91 | 0 | 0.91 |