The typical standard errors between pairs of models on this dataset as a function of the absolute accuracy.
The standard error of each model pair against their observed accuracy difference. Pairs below a reference line differ by more than the corresponding number of standard errors, i.e. they are statistically distinguishable at that level.
| model | pass1 | pass@count | win_rate | count | SE(A) | SE_x(A) | SE_pred(A) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| qwen3-32b | 26.8 | 45.6 | 22.8 | 3 | 2 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| google_gemma_3_12b_it | 26.1 | 45.4 | 21.9 | 4 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| qwen3-14b | 25.8 | 41.7 | 21.7 | 3 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| qwen3-4b | 22.3 | 41 | 18.5 | 4 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| qwen2-72b-instruct | 22.1 | 32.6 | 18.5 | 2 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| qwen2.5-coder-32b-instruct | 21.2 | 31.3 | 17.5 | 2 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| qwen3-8b | 18.8 | 33.6 | 15.6 | 3 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| qwen2.5-coder-14b-instruct | 15.1 | 29.9 | 12.3 | 3 | 1.6 | 0.88 | 1.3 |
| qwen1.5-32b-chat | 14.6 | 28.2 | 12.1 | 3 | 1.6 | 0.91 | 1.3 |
| google_gemma_2_27b_it | 13.2 | 19.4 | 11 | 2 | 1.5 | 1 | 1.1 |
| qwen1.5-72b-chat | 13 | 20.8 | 10.7 | 2 | 1.5 | 0.83 | 1.2 |
| google_gemma_7b_it | 11.9 | 23.3 | 10.1 | 4 | 1.4 | 1 | 1 |
| google_gemma_3_4b_it | 11.5 | 28.9 | 9.42 | 5 | 1.4 | 0.87 | 1.1 |
| google_gemma_2_9b_it | 9.13 | 21 | 7.57 | 4 | 1.3 | 0.78 | 1 |
| qwen2.5-coder-7b-instruct | 8.74 | 23.3 | 7.02 | 4 | 1.2 | 0.57 | 1.1 |
| qwen1.5-14b-chat | 8.61 | 19 | 7.1 | 3 | 1.2 | 0.65 | 1.1 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x22b_instruct_v0.1 | 8.48 | 18.3 | 6.71 | 3 | 1.2 | 0.64 | 1 |
| qwen2-math-72b-instruct | 7.96 | 11.7 | 6.29 | 2 | 1.2 | 0.84 | 0.85 |
| qwen3-1.7b | 6.99 | 15.1 | 5.5 | 4 | 1.1 | 0.72 | 0.86 |
| llama-3.1-8B-instruct | 6.6 | 6.6 | 5.52 | 7 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0 |
| google_codegemma_1.1_7b_it | 6.33 | 21.9 | 5.16 | 5 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.99 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.2 | 6.17 | 18.3 | 5.21 | 4 | 1.1 | 0.46 | 0.96 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.3 | 6.12 | 16.9 | 4.97 | 4 | 1.1 | 0.51 | 0.92 |
| qwen2-7b-instruct | 6.02 | 18.8 | 4.82 | 4 | 1 | 0.37 | 0.98 |
| qwen2-1.5b-instruct | 5.63 | 17.1 | 4.91 | 4 | 1 | 0.38 | 0.94 |
| qwen2-math-7b-instruct | 5.63 | 8.93 | 4.32 | 2 | 1 | 0.63 | 0.8 |
| qwen1.5-7b-chat | 5.44 | 14.2 | 4.55 | 3 | 1 | 0.31 | 0.95 |
| deepseek_v2_lite_chat | 5.37 | 13.8 | 4.53 | 3 | 0.99 | 0.33 | 0.94 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_14b | 5.1 | 12 | 3.87 | 4 | 0.97 | 0.57 | 0.79 |
| qwen2.5-coder-3b-instruct | 4.76 | 14.2 | 3.84 | 4 | 0.94 | 0.39 | 0.85 |
| llama-3.2-3B-instruct | 4.66 | 4.66 | 3.86 | 10 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0 |
| llama-3.2-1B-instruct | 4.66 | 4.66 | 3.9 | 13 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_32b | 4.66 | 7.96 | 3.54 | 2 | 0.93 | 0.47 | 0.8 |
| google_gemma_3_1b_it | 4.56 | 11.7 | 3.57 | 4 | 0.92 | 0.52 | 0.76 |
| google_gemma_2b_it | 4.47 | 9.71 | 3.71 | 4 | 0.91 | 0.62 | 0.66 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_70b | 4.37 | 6.6 | 3.31 | 2 | 0.9 | 0.61 | 0.66 |
| mistralai_mathstral_7b_v0.1 | 4.27 | 13.4 | 3.42 | 4 | 0.89 | 0.34 | 0.82 |
| mistralai_ministral_8b_instruct_2410 | 3.83 | 12.8 | 3.05 | 4 | 0.85 | 0.27 | 0.8 |
| qwen2-math-1.5b-instruct | 3.56 | 7.38 | 2.63 | 3 | 0.82 | 0.5 | 0.64 |
| qwen1.5-1.8b-chat | 3.43 | 8.54 | 2.83 | 3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.74 |
| qwen3-0.6b | 3.18 | 11.3 | 2.45 | 5 | 0.77 | 0.35 | 0.69 |
| qwen2-0.5b-instruct | 3.15 | 12 | 2.7 | 5 | 0.77 | 0.24 | 0.73 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.1 | 3.11 | 9.9 | 2.58 | 4 | 0.76 | 0.26 | 0.72 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_7b | 2.77 | 6.02 | 2.01 | 4 | 0.72 | 0.48 | 0.54 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_8b | 1.89 | 5.63 | 1.43 | 4 | 0.6 | 0.27 | 0.53 |
| qwen2.5-coder-0.5b-instruct | 1.86 | 7.18 | 1.47 | 5 | 0.6 | 0.21 | 0.56 |
| qwen1.5-0.5b-chat | 1.86 | 8.16 | 1.56 | 5 | 0.6 | 0.14 | 0.58 |
| qwen2.5-coder-1.5b-instruct | 1.8 | 6.21 | 1.39 | 4 | 0.59 | 0.19 | 0.55 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_1.5b | 1.21 | 3.88 | 0.865 | 4 | 0.48 | 0.19 | 0.44 |