The typical standard errors between pairs of models on this dataset as a function of the absolute accuracy.
The standard error of each model pair against their observed accuracy difference. Pairs below a reference line differ by more than the corresponding number of standard errors, i.e. they are statistically distinguishable at that level.
| model | pass1 | pass@count | win_rate | count | SE(A) | SE_x(A) | SE_pred(A) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| google_gemma_3_27b_it | 85.5 | 92.8 | 44.9 | 3 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.99 |
| qwen3-32b | 81.5 | 89.4 | 41.6 | 2 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_32b | 81.1 | 89 | 41.8 | 2 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| qwen3-14b | 80.7 | 89.4 | 41 | 3 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_70b | 78.9 | 87.2 | 40 | 2 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| google_gemma_3_12b_it | 78.3 | 87.4 | 39.4 | 3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| qwen3-8b | 78.3 | 86.6 | 39.2 | 3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| qwen3-4b | 77.1 | 88 | 38.3 | 4 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_14b | 76.3 | 89 | 38.5 | 3 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| qwen2.5-coder-32b-instruct | 74.4 | 82.2 | 36.3 | 2 | 2 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_7b | 72.7 | 87.6 | 36 | 3 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| qwen2-math-7b-instruct | 70.7 | 79.2 | 33.6 | 2 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| qwen2.5-coder-14b-instruct | 67.2 | 80.4 | 31.2 | 3 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_8b | 67.1 | 84.8 | 32.7 | 4 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| qwen3-1.7b | 65.4 | 79.6 | 30.4 | 4 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| google_gemma_3_4b_it | 65 | 79.6 | 31 | 4 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_1.5b | 64.6 | 82.6 | 30.3 | 4 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| llama-3.1-70B-instruct | 63.4 | 63.6 | 29.4 | 4 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 0.2 |
| qwen2-72b-instruct | 63 | 72.2 | 28.7 | 2 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| qwen2-math-1.5b-instruct | 61.5 | 71.8 | 27.7 | 2 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| qwen2.5-coder-7b-instruct | 53.7 | 71.2 | 23.4 | 3 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| google_gemma_2_27b_it | 52.8 | 52.8 | 22.1 | 1 | 2.2 | NaN | NaN |
| qwen2-7b-instruct | 45.7 | 64.8 | 18.5 | 3 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| llama-3.1-8B-instruct | 45.1 | 45.4 | 18.7 | 6 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0.25 |
| google_gemma_2_9b_it | 44.9 | 56.4 | 17.8 | 3 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x22b_instruct_v0.1 | 43.8 | 57.8 | 17.9 | 2 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| qwen2.5-coder-3b-instruct | 40.8 | 65.2 | 16.9 | 4 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| mistralai_mathstral_7b_v0.1 | 39.8 | 60.4 | 16.1 | 3 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| mistralai_ministral_8b_instruct_2410 | 39.8 | 58.2 | 15.8 | 3 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| llama-3.2-3B-instruct | 38.3 | 38.8 | 15.1 | 10 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0.27 |
| qwen1.5-72b-chat | 37.9 | 48.4 | 14.7 | 2 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| qwen1.5-32b-chat | 37.1 | 49.8 | 14.6 | 2 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| qwen3-0.6b | 31.6 | 50.8 | 12.3 | 3 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| qwen1.5-14b-chat | 28.3 | 44.4 | 10.1 | 3 | 2 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| qwen2.5-coder-1.5b-instruct | 26.2 | 49.6 | 9.64 | 4 | 2 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x7b_instruct_v0.1 | 23.3 | 40.4 | 8.16 | 3 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| llama-3.2-1B-instruct | 20.5 | 20.6 | 7.33 | 11 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.16 |
| deepseek_v2_lite_chat | 18.9 | 27.2 | 6.46 | 2 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| google_codegemma_1.1_7b_it | 18.6 | 34.8 | 6.2 | 4 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| qwen1.5-7b-chat | 15.9 | 28.6 | 5.26 | 3 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| google_gemma_3_1b_it | 13.6 | 30.2 | 5.92 | 4 | 1.5 | 0.91 | 1.2 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.3 | 10.5 | 20.6 | 3.39 | 3 | 1.4 | 0.81 | 1.1 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.2 | 9 | 19 | 3.06 | 3 | 1.3 | 0.71 | 1.1 |
| qwen2.5-coder-0.5b-instruct | 6 | 18 | 2.38 | 4 | 1.1 | 0.44 | 0.97 |
| google_gemma_7b_it | 5.75 | 13.6 | 1.86 | 4 | 1 | 0.64 | 0.82 |
| qwen2-1.5b-instruct | 4.65 | 13.2 | 1.54 | 4 | 0.94 | 0.42 | 0.84 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.1 | 4.13 | 9.8 | 1.42 | 3 | 0.89 | 0.39 | 0.8 |
| qwen2-0.5b-instruct | 2.05 | 6.8 | 0.756 | 4 | 0.63 | 0.21 | 0.6 |
| qwen1.5-1.8b-chat | 0.867 | 2.2 | 0.293 | 3 | 0.41 | 0.16 | 0.38 |
| google_gemma_2b_it | 0.35 | 1.4 | 0.104 | 4 | 0.26 | 0 | 0.26 |
| qwen1.5-0.5b-chat | 0.3 | 1.2 | 0.145 | 4 | 0.24 | 0 | 0.24 |