The typical standard errors between pairs of models on this dataset as a function of the absolute accuracy.
The standard error of each model pair against their observed accuracy difference. Pairs below a reference line differ by more than the corresponding number of standard errors, i.e. they are statistically distinguishable at that level.
| model | pass1 | pass@count | win_rate | count | SE(A) | SE_x(A) | SE_pred(A) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| google_gemma_3_27b_it | 89.2 | 93.1 | 43.5 | 3 | 0.59 | 0.5 | 0.32 |
| qwen3-32b | 89 | 92.6 | 43.3 | 2.3 | 0.6 | NaN | NaN |
| google_gemma_3_12b_it | 86.2 | 91.4 | 41.2 | 3.4 | 0.66 | NaN | NaN |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_70b | 85.8 | 91.7 | 41.2 | 2.2 | 0.67 | NaN | NaN |
| qwen3-14b | 84.4 | 90.1 | 39.6 | 3 | 0.69 | 0.58 | 0.38 |
| google_gemma_2_27b_it | 82.5 | 82.5 | 38.8 | 1 | 0.73 | NaN | NaN |
| qwen3-8b | 80.1 | 87.8 | 36.5 | 3 | 0.76 | 0.62 | 0.44 |
| qwen2-72b-instruct | 79.4 | 85.7 | 35.9 | 2.2 | 0.77 | NaN | NaN |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_32b | 79.4 | 86.1 | 36.1 | 2.2 | 0.77 | NaN | NaN |
| google_gemma_2_9b_it | 77.8 | 87.5 | 35.5 | 3 | 0.79 | 0.62 | 0.49 |
| qwen2.5-coder-32b-instruct | 77.3 | 84.2 | 34.6 | 2.2 | 0.8 | NaN | NaN |
| llama-3.1-70B-instruct | 77 | 77 | 35.8 | 4 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0 |
| qwen3-4b | 73.7 | 83.1 | 32.1 | 4 | 0.84 | 0.71 | 0.44 |
| qwen2-math-72b-instruct | 73.7 | 83.4 | 32.7 | 2.2 | 0.84 | NaN | NaN |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_14b | 73.7 | 84 | 32.3 | 3.4 | 0.84 | NaN | NaN |
| google_gemma_3_4b_it | 71.2 | 85.1 | 31.3 | 4 | 0.86 | 0.66 | 0.55 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x22b_instruct_v0.1 | 68 | 78.7 | 28.9 | 2.3 | 0.89 | NaN | NaN |
| qwen2.5-coder-14b-instruct | 64.9 | 79.6 | 26.9 | 3 | 0.91 | 0.67 | 0.61 |
| qwen1.5-72b-chat | 63.7 | 74.7 | 26 | 2.2 | 0.92 | NaN | NaN |
| qwen1.5-32b-chat | 58.6 | 70.7 | 23.5 | 2.3 | 0.94 | NaN | NaN |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_7b | 58 | 73.9 | 22.9 | 3.4 | 0.94 | NaN | NaN |
| qwen3-1.7b | 54.9 | 70.2 | 21.1 | 4 | 0.95 | 0.77 | 0.56 |
| qwen2-7b-instruct | 52.6 | 70.1 | 19.9 | 3.4 | 0.95 | NaN | NaN |
| mistralai_ministral_8b_instruct_2410 | 51 | 69.1 | 19.2 | 3.4 | 0.95 | NaN | NaN |
| mistralai_mathstral_7b_v0.1 | 50.9 | 72.9 | 20.1 | 3.4 | 0.95 | NaN | NaN |
| qwen2.5-coder-7b-instruct | 50.8 | 69.1 | 18.9 | 3.4 | 0.95 | NaN | NaN |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x7b_instruct_v0.1 | 44.4 | 64.4 | 16.7 | 3 | 0.95 | 0.64 | 0.7 |
| llama-3.1-8B-instruct | 44 | 44 | 16.8 | 7 | 0.95 | 0.95 | 0 |
| qwen1.5-14b-chat | 43.5 | 61.5 | 15.6 | 3 | 0.95 | 0.67 | 0.66 |
| qwen2-math-7b-instruct | 43.3 | 65.1 | 15.4 | 4 | 0.94 | 0.68 | 0.66 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_8b | 40.4 | 62.6 | 14.2 | 4 | 0.94 | 0.66 | 0.67 |
| google_codegemma_1.1_7b_it | 38.4 | 62.4 | 14 | 4 | 0.93 | 0.63 | 0.68 |
| deepseek_v2_lite_chat | 37.2 | 52.5 | 13 | 2.3 | 0.92 | NaN | NaN |
| llama-3.2-3B-instruct | 35.2 | 35.2 | 12.6 | 10 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 0 |
| qwen2.5-coder-3b-instruct | 34.3 | 57.6 | 11.5 | 4 | 0.91 | 0.61 | 0.67 |
| qwen1.5-7b-chat | 29.4 | 46.6 | 9.3 | 3 | 0.87 | 0.59 | 0.63 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_1.5b | 27.2 | 46 | 8.45 | 4 | 0.85 | 0.61 | 0.59 |
| google_gemma_3_1b_it | 26 | 45.5 | 8.38 | 4 | 0.84 | 0.6 | 0.59 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.3 | 24.5 | 44.7 | 7.91 | 3.4 | 0.82 | NaN | NaN |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.2 | 23.9 | 43.2 | 7.99 | 3.4 | 0.81 | NaN | NaN |
| qwen3-0.6b | 21.9 | 39.9 | 6.84 | 4 | 0.79 | 0.55 | 0.57 |
| qwen2-math-1.5b-instruct | 20 | 36.6 | 5.99 | 4 | 0.76 | 0.54 | 0.54 |
| google_gemma_7b_it | 17.8 | 33.2 | 5.79 | 4 | 0.73 | 0.51 | 0.52 |
| qwen2.5-coder-1.5b-instruct | 17 | 36.1 | 4.89 | 4 | 0.72 | 0.43 | 0.57 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.1 | 12.1 | 26.3 | 3.48 | 3.4 | 0.62 | NaN | NaN |
| qwen2-1.5b-instruct | 8.15 | 21.9 | 2.3 | 4 | 0.52 | 0.26 | 0.46 |
| google_gemma_2b_it | 5.05 | 13.9 | 1.89 | 4 | 0.42 | 0.21 | 0.36 |
| qwen2.5-coder-0.5b-instruct | 3.46 | 10.7 | 1.08 | 4 | 0.35 | 0.14 | 0.32 |
| qwen1.5-1.8b-chat | 3.37 | 8.44 | 1.09 | 3 | 0.34 | 0.13 | 0.32 |
| qwen2-0.5b-instruct | 2.97 | 9.67 | 0.949 | 4 | 0.32 | 0.12 | 0.3 |
| qwen1.5-0.5b-chat | 1.42 | 5.09 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.23 | 0.055 | 0.22 |