The typical standard errors between pairs of models on this dataset as a function of the absolute accuracy.
The standard error of each model pair against their observed accuracy difference. Pairs below a reference line differ by more than the corresponding number of standard errors, i.e. they are statistically distinguishable at that level.
| model | pass1 | pass@count | win_rate | count | SE(A) | SE_x(A) | SE_pred(A) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| qwen3-32b | 69 | 76.1 | 39.3 | 2 | 0.42 | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| qwen3-14b | 67.2 | 72.9 | 37.8 | 2 | 0.43 | 0.37 | 0.22 |
| qwen3-8b | 62.5 | 68.7 | 34.2 | 2 | 0.44 | 0.38 | 0.23 |
| llama-3.1-70B-instruct | 60.3 | 60.3 | 33.2 | 3 | 0.45 | 0.45 | 0 |
| qwen2-72b-instruct | 60.1 | 60.1 | 32.7 | 1 | 0.45 | NaN | NaN |
| qwen2.5-coder-32b-instruct | 59.3 | 59.3 | 31.9 | 1 | 0.45 | NaN | NaN |
| google_gemma_3_12b_it | 58.4 | 69.1 | 31.2 | 3 | 0.45 | 0.38 | 0.24 |
| qwen3-4b | 57.7 | 67.3 | 31 | 3 | 0.45 | 0.39 | 0.23 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x22b_instruct_v0.1 | 47.1 | 60.1 | 23.9 | 2 | 0.46 | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_32b | 46.6 | 46.6 | 23.2 | 1 | 0.45 | NaN | NaN |
| qwen1.5-72b-chat | 46.5 | 46.5 | 23.7 | 1 | 0.45 | NaN | NaN |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_14b | 44.7 | 60.2 | 22 | 3 | 0.45 | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| qwen2-math-72b-instruct | 44.4 | 44.4 | 22.6 | 1 | 0.45 | NaN | NaN |
| qwen2.5-coder-14b-instruct | 43.3 | 57.3 | 21.5 | 2 | 0.45 | 0.3 | 0.34 |
| qwen1.5-32b-chat | 43.3 | 56 | 21.5 | 2 | 0.45 | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| qwen3-1.7b | 42.4 | 56.2 | 21.3 | 3 | 0.45 | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| google_gemma_3_4b_it | 41.5 | 57.1 | 20.2 | 4 | 0.45 | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| qwen2-7b-instruct | 41 | 59.8 | 20 | 3 | 0.45 | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| mistralai_mixtral_8x7b_instruct_v0.1 | 38.4 | 51.1 | 19 | 2 | 0.44 | 0.3 | 0.33 |
| llama-3.1-8B-instruct | 37.5 | 37.5 | 18.1 | 7 | 0.44 | 0.44 | 0 |
| qwen1.5-14b-chat | 36 | 47.1 | 17.1 | 2 | 0.44 | 0.31 | 0.3 |
| mistralai_ministral_8b_instruct_2410 | 32.8 | 53.9 | 15.4 | 3 | 0.43 | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_llama_8b | 32.4 | 49.1 | 14.5 | 3 | 0.43 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| qwen2.5-coder-7b-instruct | 32.1 | 53.6 | 15.2 | 3 | 0.43 | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_7b | 31.5 | 47.9 | 14.5 | 3 | 0.42 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.3 | 31.3 | 49.6 | 14.7 | 3 | 0.42 | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| mistralai_mathstral_7b_v0.1 | 29.7 | 52.1 | 14 | 3 | 0.42 | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| llama-3.2-3B-instruct | 29.2 | 29.2 | 13.8 | 10 | 0.41 | 0.41 | 0 |
| qwen2-math-7b-instruct | 29 | 49.9 | 14.3 | 3 | 0.41 | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.2 | 27.9 | 44.3 | 12.9 | 3 | 0.41 | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| google_codegemma_1.1_7b_it | 27 | 27 | 12.7 | 1 | 0.4 | NaN | NaN |
| deepseek_v2_lite_chat | 26.1 | 37.8 | 12 | 2 | 0.4 | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| qwen2.5-coder-3b-instruct | 25.9 | 46.5 | 12 | 3 | 0.4 | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| qwen1.5-7b-chat | 23.1 | 41.7 | 10.5 | 3 | 0.38 | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| qwen3-0.6b | 23 | 42.9 | 11.6 | 4 | 0.38 | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| mistralai_mistral_7b_instruct_v0.1 | 19 | 37.5 | 8.87 | 3 | 0.36 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| qwen2.5-coder-1.5b-instruct | 16.9 | 35.1 | 8.11 | 3 | 0.34 | 0.17 | 0.3 |
| qwen2-math-1.5b-instruct | 16.6 | 34 | 8.31 | 3 | 0.34 | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| llama-3.2-1B-instruct | 16.5 | 16.5 | 8.09 | 12 | 0.34 | 0.34 | 0 |
| deepseek_r1_distill_qwen_1.5b | 15.9 | 31.7 | 7.17 | 3 | 0.33 | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| qwen2-1.5b-instruct | 11.6 | 26.8 | 5.82 | 3 | 0.29 | 0.12 | 0.27 |
| qwen2-0.5b-instruct | 9.51 | 28.8 | 5.55 | 4 | 0.27 | 0.091 | 0.25 |
| qwen2.5-coder-0.5b-instruct | 9.26 | 28.8 | 5.62 | 4 | 0.26 | 0.077 | 0.25 |
| qwen1.5-1.8b-chat | 8.84 | 20.7 | 4.47 | 3 | 0.26 | 0.11 | 0.23 |
| qwen1.5-0.5b-chat | 5.49 | 19.1 | 3.24 | 4 | 0.21 | 0.042 | 0.2 |