The typical standard errors between pairs of models on this dataset as a function of the absolute accuracy.
The standard error of each model pair against their observed accuracy difference. Pairs below a reference line differ by more than the corresponding number of standard errors, i.e. they are statistically distinguishable at that level.
| model | pass1 | pass@count | win_rate | count | SE(A) | SE_x(A) | SE_pred(A) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cwm-baseline-400 | 31.1 | 31.1 | 10.7 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline-380 | 30.2 | 30.2 | 9.98 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline-210 | 29.5 | 29.5 | 9.73 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay-280 | 29.5 | 29.5 | 9.88 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline_360-409 | 29.5 | 45.4 | 9.47 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-baseline-370 | 29.4 | 29.4 | 9.16 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline-340 | 29.3 | 29.3 | 9.52 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay-120 | 29 | 29 | 9.43 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline_340-389 | 29 | 45.1 | 9.11 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-baseline-220 | 28.9 | 28.9 | 9.24 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay-150 | 28.9 | 28.9 | 9.13 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline_350-399 | 28.8 | 44.3 | 9 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-selfplay-270 | 28.7 | 28.7 | 9.43 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay-220 | 28.6 | 28.6 | 8.61 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline-270 | 28.6 | 28.6 | 8.68 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay_120-169 | 28.6 | 45.6 | 8.99 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-baseline_330-379 | 28.5 | 44.2 | 8.79 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-selfplay-140 | 28.5 | 28.5 | 9.09 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay-160 | 28.5 | 28.5 | 8.68 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline-390 | 28.5 | 28.5 | 8.96 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay-260 | 28.5 | 28.5 | 8.81 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay_240-289 | 28.4 | 44.6 | 9.08 | 4 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| cwm-selfplay-180 | 28.3 | 28.3 | 8.54 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline-320 | 28.3 | 28.3 | 8.92 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline-170 | 28.3 | 28.3 | 8.64 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay-80 | 28.3 | 28.3 | 8.48 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay_140-189 | 28.3 | 44.9 | 8.69 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-baseline_320-369 | 28.3 | 44 | 8.74 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-baseline_210-259 | 28.2 | 45.4 | 8.85 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| cwm-selfplay_130-179 | 28.2 | 45.3 | 8.75 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-baseline-360 | 28.2 | 28.2 | 8.76 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay_110-159 | 28.1 | 44.9 | 8.75 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| cwm-baseline_310-359 | 28.1 | 44 | 8.62 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-baseline-130 | 28 | 28 | 8.11 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay-130 | 28 | 28 | 8.82 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay_150-199 | 28 | 44.2 | 8.53 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-baseline_200-249 | 28 | 45.3 | 8.67 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| cwm-baseline_190-239 | 28 | 45.3 | 8.65 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-selfplay_250-299 | 28 | 45.6 | 8.81 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| cwm-baseline-140 | 27.9 | 27.9 | 8.74 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay-320 | 27.9 | 27.9 | 8.97 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline-230 | 27.9 | 27.9 | 8.72 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline-290 | 27.9 | 27.9 | 8.47 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay_260-309 | 27.9 | 45.3 | 8.74 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| cwm-baseline-350 | 27.8 | 27.8 | 8.34 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay-40 | 27.8 | 27.8 | 8.24 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline-330 | 27.8 | 27.8 | 8.37 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay_270-319 | 27.7 | 44.2 | 8.67 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| cwm-baseline_300-349 | 27.7 | 44.6 | 8.41 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-selfplay_160-209 | 27.7 | 43.4 | 8.37 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-selfplay_100-149 | 27.7 | 44.6 | 8.56 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| cwm-baseline-240 | 27.6 | 27.6 | 8.49 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline-280 | 27.6 | 27.6 | 8.72 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay-370 | 27.6 | 27.6 | 8.32 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay-60 | 27.6 | 27.6 | 8.04 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay-310 | 27.6 | 27.6 | 8.45 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay_230-279 | 27.6 | 43.5 | 8.61 | 4 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| cwm-selfplay_220-269 | 27.6 | 42.7 | 8.4 | 4 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-baseline_180-229 | 27.6 | 44.5 | 8.34 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-selfplay_280-329 | 27.6 | 43.4 | 8.58 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| cwm-baseline-190 | 27.5 | 27.5 | 8.38 | 1 | 1.7 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline_270-319 | 27.5 | 43 | 8.23 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-selfplay_80-129 | 27.5 | 43 | 8.27 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-baseline_170-219 | 27.5 | 43.6 | 8.22 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-baseline_290-339 | 27.4 | 43.9 | 8.2 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-selfplay_180-229 | 27.4 | 43.1 | 8.19 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-baseline_280-329 | 27.4 | 43.4 | 8.27 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-selfplay_90-139 | 27.4 | 43.9 | 8.34 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-baseline_220-269 | 27.4 | 43.8 | 8.29 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-selfplay-390 | 27.4 | 27.4 | 8.8 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay-170 | 27.4 | 27.4 | 8.23 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline_230-279 | 27.3 | 43.1 | 8.18 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-baseline_250-299 | 27.3 | 43 | 8.18 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-baseline_130-179 | 27.3 | 43.5 | 8.15 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-baseline_240-289 | 27.3 | 42.8 | 8.18 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-selfplay-190 | 27.2 | 27.2 | 8.26 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline-310 | 27.2 | 27.2 | 8.16 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay-90 | 27.2 | 27.2 | 7.97 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline-250 | 27.2 | 27.2 | 8.28 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay_40-89 | 27.2 | 42.8 | 7.88 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-selfplay_170-219 | 27.2 | 42.4 | 8.11 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-selfplay_50-99 | 27.1 | 42.7 | 7.83 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-baseline_260-309 | 27.1 | 42.4 | 7.98 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-selfplay_60-109 | 27.1 | 42.4 | 7.91 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-selfplay_190-239 | 27.1 | 43.1 | 8.08 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-baseline_120-169 | 27 | 43.4 | 8.03 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-selfplay_200-249 | 27 | 41.7 | 8.04 | 4 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-selfplay_210-259 | 27 | 41.6 | 8.05 | 4 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-selfplay_290-339 | 26.9 | 42.8 | 8.19 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-baseline-160 | 26.9 | 26.9 | 8.38 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline_160-209 | 26.9 | 43.4 | 7.95 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-selfplay-360 | 26.9 | 26.9 | 7.95 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay_300-349 | 26.9 | 44 | 8.37 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| cwm-selfplay-200 | 26.9 | 26.9 | 8.36 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline-120 | 26.9 | 26.9 | 8.02 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay_360-409 | 26.9 | 41.9 | 8.09 | 4 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-selfplay_310-359 | 26.9 | 44.7 | 8.26 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| cwm-baseline_140-189 | 26.8 | 43 | 7.96 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-selfplay-250 | 26.8 | 26.8 | 8.38 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay-50 | 26.8 | 26.8 | 7.76 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay-100 | 26.8 | 26.8 | 8.2 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline_100-149 | 26.8 | 43 | 7.83 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-selfplay_320-369 | 26.8 | 44.7 | 8.16 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| cwm-baseline_150-199 | 26.8 | 43.5 | 7.89 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-selfplay_70-119 | 26.8 | 42.1 | 7.8 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-selfplay_350-399 | 26.7 | 43.6 | 7.96 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-selfplay_330-379 | 26.7 | 43.9 | 8.03 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| cwm-baseline_110-159 | 26.7 | 42.5 | 7.77 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-selfplay_30-79 | 26.6 | 42.8 | 7.75 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-selfplay-230 | 26.5 | 26.5 | 7.98 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay_340-389 | 26.5 | 43.8 | 7.93 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| cwm-selfplay-330 | 26.5 | 26.5 | 7.96 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline_90-139 | 26.5 | 42.8 | 7.71 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| cwm-baseline-90 | 26.4 | 26.4 | 8.12 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay-340 | 26.4 | 26.4 | 8.66 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay-290 | 26.4 | 26.4 | 7.78 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay-300 | 26.3 | 26.3 | 8.03 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline-200 | 26.3 | 26.3 | 7.4 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay_20-69 | 26.2 | 42.5 | 7.61 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1 |
| cwm-baseline-300 | 26 | 26 | 7.31 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay-210 | 26 | 26 | 7.37 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay-350 | 26 | 26 | 7.49 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay-110 | 26 | 26 | 7.48 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay-380 | 25.7 | 25.7 | 7.46 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline-180 | 25.7 | 25.7 | 7.17 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline-100 | 25.7 | 25.7 | 7.39 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline_80-129 | 25.6 | 42.1 | 7.4 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1 |
| cwm-selfplay-70 | 25.4 | 25.4 | 7.07 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline-150 | 25.3 | 25.3 | 7.09 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline-260 | 25.3 | 25.3 | 6.94 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline-40 | 25.3 | 25.3 | 7.46 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline_70-119 | 25.3 | 41.5 | 7.19 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1 |
| cwm-baseline-110 | 25.2 | 25.2 | 7.09 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay-30 | 25.2 | 25.2 | 7.85 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline-70 | 25.2 | 25.2 | 6.98 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay_10-59 | 25 | 41.9 | 7.19 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| cwm-baseline_60-109 | 24.9 | 41.3 | 6.98 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1 |
| cwm-baseline_50-99 | 24.4 | 40.2 | 6.7 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1 |
| cwm-baseline_40-89 | 24.1 | 39.9 | 6.57 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1 |
| cwm-baseline_30-79 | 23.9 | 39.5 | 6.45 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1 |
| cwm-baseline-80 | 23.9 | 23.9 | 6.58 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay-20 | 23.4 | 23.4 | 6.39 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline_20-69 | 23.3 | 39.4 | 6.22 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1 |
| cwm-baseline-60 | 23.3 | 23.3 | 6.03 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline-50 | 23 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline-30 | 23 | 23 | 5.96 | 1 | 1.6 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline_10-59 | 22.8 | 39 | 6.1 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1 |
| cwm-baseline-20 | 22 | 22 | 5.83 | 1 | 1.5 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-selfplay-10 | 22 | 22 | 5.95 | 1 | 1.5 | NaN | NaN |
| cwm-baseline-10 | 20.9 | 20.9 | 5.46 | 1 | 1.5 | NaN | NaN |